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| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | entry at | status | alert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S3 | MSFT | ▲ long | 2 | — | — | ⚠️ failed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | MSFT | ▲ long | 2 | — | — | ⚠️ failed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | MSFT | ▼ short | 2 | — | — | ⚠️ failed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 332.97 | Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 332.16 | Fri Jul-17 14:50:05 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 329.56 | Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 205.12 | Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S2 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.32 | Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 204.70 | Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 330.62 | Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 204.71 | Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AMD | ▼ short | 2 | 490.00 | Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 332.49 | Fri Jul-17 15:40:27 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | QCOM | ▼ short | 5 | 167.95 | Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 332.40 | Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 332.64 | Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S2 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.77 | Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 852.46 | Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▼ short | 2 | 333.36 | Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▼ short | 2 | 333.73 | Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 850.79 | Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 2 | 334.09 | Fri Jul-17 16:20:06 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 854.21 | Fri Jul-17 16:20:06 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AMD | ▲ long | 2 | 493.00 | Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 204.66 | Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | ASML | ▲ long | 1 | 1761.29 | Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.42 | Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S2 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 370.67 | Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 333.34 | Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | TSM | ▲ long | 2 | 403.90 | Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | ASML | ▲ long | 1 | 1783.99 | Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AMD | ▲ long | 1 | 499.12 | Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 331.43 | Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 204.96 | Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | SMCI | ▲ long | 40 | 24.34 | Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 371.15 | Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AMD | ▲ long | 1 | 498.82 | Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 204.53 | Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 330.50 | Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.46 | Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | TSM | ▲ long | 2 | 404.10 | Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 372.56 | Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 247.86 | Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | TSLA | ▼ short | 2 | 383.89 | Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.97 | Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | TSM | ▼ short | 2 | 401.58 | Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 248.08 | Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.65 | Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 248.11 | Fri Jul-17 17:30:13 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S2 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 248.16 | Fri Jul-17 17:31:25 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | ASML | ▲ long | 1 | 1774.99 | Fri Jul-17 17:39:11 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 375.53 | Fri Jul-17 17:49:40 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 205.89 | Fri Jul-17 17:49:40 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AMD | ▲ long | 1 | 502.50 | Fri Jul-17 18:00:26 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 205.81 | Fri Jul-17 18:00:26 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.68 | Fri Jul-17 18:00:26 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.64 | Fri Jul-17 18:10:02 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.50 | Fri Jul-17 18:20:01 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.42 | Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.07 | Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.57 | Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S1 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 205.17 | Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 330.70 | Fri Jul-17 18:50:06 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S3 | AMD | ▼ short | 2 | 496.32 | Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 203.32 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | TSM | ▼ short | 2 | 397.88 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | GOOGL | ▼ short | 2 | 346.58 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | ASML | ▲ long | 1 | 1750.97 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | PLTR | ▲ long | 7 | 132.26 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 854.64 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | AAPL | ▲ long | 2 | 334.12 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | AMD | ▲ long | 2 | 497.73 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | MSFT | ▲ long | 2 | 394.55 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | META | ▲ long | 1 | 646.87 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | TSLA | ▼ short | 2 | 381.76 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 247.70 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | SMCI | ▲ long | 41 | 24.34 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| S4 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 372.15 | Fri Jul-17 20:55:20 | closed | alert ↗ |
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | P&L % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S4 | TSM | ▲ long | 2 | 409.44 | 397.93 | -23.02 | -2.81% | |
| S4 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 333.35 | 334.11 | +2.28 | +0.23% | |
| S4 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 333.40 | 334.11 | +2.13 | +0.21% | |
| S4 | MU | ▼ short | 1 | 854.16 | 853.76 | +0.40 | +0.05% | |
| S4 | TSM | ▲ long | 2 | 409.58 | 398.02 | -23.12 | -2.82% | |
| S4 | ASML | ▲ long | 1 | 1784.10 | 1749.14 | -34.96 | -1.96% | |
| S4 | META | ▼ short | 1 | 663.59 | 646.82 | +16.77 | +2.53% | |
| S4 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 206.81 | 203.47 | -13.36 | -1.62% | |
| S4 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 854.56 | 853.92 | -0.64 | -0.07% | |
| S4 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 333.28 | 333.93 | -1.95 | -0.20% | |
| S4 | GOOGL | ▲ long | 2 | 353.83 | 346.86 | -13.94 | -1.97% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 332.97 | 333.91 | -2.82 | -0.28% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 332.16 | 333.87 | +5.13 | +0.51% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 329.56 | 333.82 | -12.78 | -1.29% | |
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 205.12 | 203.53 | +6.36 | +0.78% | |
| S2 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.32 | 333.84 | +10.56 | +1.07% | |
| S3 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 204.70 | 203.48 | -4.88 | -0.60% | |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 330.62 | 333.88 | -9.78 | -0.99% | |
| S1 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 204.71 | 203.50 | +4.84 | +0.59% | |
| S3 | AMD | ▼ short | 2 | 490.00 | 499.94 | -19.88 | -2.03% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 332.49 | 333.66 | +3.51 | +0.35% | |
| S3 | QCOM | ▼ short | 5 | 167.95 | 172.16 | -21.05 | -2.51% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 332.40 | 333.70 | +3.90 | +0.39% | |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 332.64 | 333.72 | -3.24 | -0.32% | |
| S2 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.77 | 247.49 | -5.12 | -0.51% | |
| S3 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 852.46 | 855.78 | +3.32 | +0.39% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▼ short | 2 | 333.36 | 333.74 | -0.76 | -0.11% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▼ short | 2 | 333.73 | 333.75 | -0.04 | -0.01% | |
| S3 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 850.79 | 854.82 | +4.03 | +0.47% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 2 | 334.09 | 333.73 | -0.72 | -0.11% | |
| S3 | MU | ▲ long | 1 | 854.21 | 854.27 | +0.06 | +0.01% | |
| S1 | AMD | ▲ long | 2 | 493.00 | 499.23 | +12.46 | +1.26% | |
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 204.66 | 203.52 | +4.56 | +0.56% | |
| S1 | ASML | ▲ long | 1 | 1761.29 | 1749.94 | -11.35 | -0.64% | |
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.42 | 247.63 | -3.16 | -0.32% | |
| S2 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 370.67 | 372.33 | +3.32 | +0.45% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 333.34 | 334.09 | +2.25 | +0.22% | |
| S1 | TSM | ▲ long | 2 | 403.90 | 398.36 | -11.08 | -1.37% | |
| S3 | ASML | ▲ long | 1 | 1783.99 | 1750.58 | -33.41 | -1.87% | |
| S1 | AMD | ▲ long | 1 | 499.12 | 499.80 | +0.68 | +0.14% | |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 331.43 | 334.25 | -8.46 | -0.85% | |
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 204.96 | 203.57 | +5.56 | +0.68% | |
| S1 | SMCI | ▲ long | 40 | 24.34 | 24.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | |
| S1 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 371.15 | 372.46 | +2.62 | +0.35% | |
| S3 | AMD | ▲ long | 1 | 498.82 | 499.62 | +0.80 | +0.16% | |
| S1 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 204.53 | 203.52 | -4.04 | -0.49% | |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 330.50 | 334.06 | -10.68 | -1.08% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.46 | 334.04 | +10.74 | +1.08% | |
| S1 | TSM | ▲ long | 2 | 404.10 | 398.27 | -11.66 | -1.44% | |
| S3 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 372.56 | 372.41 | -0.30 | -0.04% | |
| S1 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 247.86 | 247.73 | +0.52 | +0.05% | |
| S3 | TSLA | ▼ short | 2 | 383.89 | 381.74 | +4.30 | +0.56% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.97 | 333.97 | +9.00 | +0.91% | |
| S1 | TSM | ▼ short | 2 | 401.58 | 398.44 | +6.28 | +0.78% | |
| S1 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 248.08 | 247.81 | +1.08 | +0.11% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.65 | 333.97 | +9.96 | +1.00% | |
| S3 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 248.11 | 247.79 | +1.28 | +0.13% | |
| S2 | AMZN | ▼ short | 4 | 248.16 | 247.76 | +1.60 | +0.16% | |
| S1 | ASML | ▲ long | 1 | 1774.99 | 1750.73 | -24.26 | -1.37% | |
| S1 | AVGO | ▲ long | 2 | 375.53 | 372.27 | -6.52 | -0.87% | |
| S3 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 205.89 | 203.49 | -9.60 | -1.17% | |
| S1 | AMD | ▲ long | 1 | 502.50 | 498.63 | -3.87 | -0.77% | |
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | 205.81 | 203.47 | +9.36 | +1.14% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.68 | 333.82 | +9.42 | +0.95% | |
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.64 | 247.80 | -3.36 | -0.34% | |
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.50 | 247.80 | -2.80 | -0.28% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.42 | 333.83 | +10.23 | +1.03% | |
| S1 | AMZN | ▲ long | 4 | 248.07 | 247.76 | -1.24 | -0.12% | |
| S1 | AAPL | ▲ long | 3 | 330.57 | 333.80 | +9.69 | +0.98% | |
| S1 | NVDA | ▲ long | 4 | 205.17 | 203.47 | -6.80 | -0.83% | |
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | 330.70 | 333.77 | -9.21 | -0.93% | |
| S3 | AMD | ▼ short | 2 | 496.32 | 498.31 | -3.98 | -0.40% |
| strategy | trades | P&L $ | wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | 35 | -4.95 | 17/35 |
| S2 | 4 | +10.36 | 3/4 |
| S3 | 22 | -94.84 | 10/22 |
| S4 | 11 | -89.41 | 4/11 |
| at | strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Jul-17 13:00:10 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.74% · Δ 30m -0.01% · px 202.43 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:00:10 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -8.27% · Δ 30m -0.38% · px 485.40 (prev 529.14) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:00:10 | S4 | NVDA | ● enter | ▼ short | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Reports of slowing AI memory chip production at SK Hynix triggered a broad sector-wide selloff in semiconductor and AI-related stocks, including Nvidia and Micron, amid concerns over sustained hyperscaler demand.) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:00:10 | S1 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 13:00:10 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 13:00:10 | S4 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 13:01:27 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 13:01:27 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 13:01:27 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.74% · Δ 30m -0.01% · px 202.42 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:01:27 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 13:01:27 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (partnership: Nvidia announced partnerships with Japanese robotics manufacturers Fanuc and Yaskawa Electric to develop physical AI and intelligent industrial automation systems.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:01:27 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.39% · Δ 30m -0.10% · px 396.89 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:01:27 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.74% · Δ 30m -0.01% · px 202.42 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:01:27 | S4 | TSM | ● enter | ▼ short | overnight drift: sell TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: Taiwan Semiconductor reported earnings that beat estimates and raised capex guidance, yet its stock and the broader semiconductor sector sold off amid valuation concerns.) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.16% · Δ 30m -0.37% · px 348.07 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S3 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.72% · Δ 30m -0.22% · px 383.75 (prev 394.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | GOOGL | ● enter | ▼ short | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (regulatory: The U.S. NHTSA is developing new safety requirements and behavioral competencies for autonomous vehicles, citing recent incidents involving Alphabet's Waymo.) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.96% · Δ 30m -0.83% · px 394.48 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.96% · Δ 30m -0.24% · px 201.96 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (product: TSMC announced that mass production of its A14 process node will begin in 2028, offering significant performance and power efficiency improvements over the 2nm process.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.96% · Δ 30m -0.24% · px 201.96 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.16% · Δ 30m -0.37% · px 348.07 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (regulatory: Anthropic's lobbying for AI safety regulations has reportedly backfired, resulting in new U.S. export controls on Nvidia chips and frontier AI models that restrict the broader AI industry.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.96% · Δ 30m -0.24% · px 201.96 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.10% · Δ 30m -1.24% · px 481.01 (prev 529.14) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: US stock futures and Asian markets declined due to concerns that Chinese AI advances by Moonshot could threaten the sustainability of the AI spending rally, negatively impacting major US tech and semiconductor stocks.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.44% · Δ 30m -0.68% · px 1752.83 (prev 1815.27) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S3 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.96% · Δ 30m -0.83% · px 394.48 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | ASML | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy ASML at close, exit next close (earnings: ASML reported Q2 2026 earnings that beat expectations and significantly raised its full-year 2026 net sales and gross margin guidance.) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.96% · Δ 30m -0.83% · px 394.48 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.96% · Δ 30m -0.24% · px 201.96 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC's earnings failed to reassure investors regarding AI valuations, triggering a broad sell-off in semiconductor stocks and dragging down peers like Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | PLTR | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.17% · Δ 30m +0.02% · px 130.86 (prev 133.76) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.96% · Δ 30m -0.24% · px 201.96 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | PLTR | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy PLTR at close, exit next close (partnership: Palantir shares rallied following announcements of a new partnership with Nvidia for secure government AI deployment and confirmation of its role in the Army's NGC2 modernization program.) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -8.36% · Δ 30m -1.35% · px 828.68 (prev 904.28) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S2 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.63% · Δ 30m +0.07% · px 332.83 (prev 327.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 13:10:24 | S4 | MU | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy MU at close, exit next close (other: Global smartphone shipments fell 10% in Q2 as surging DRAM and NAND memory costs forced manufacturers to raise prices, disproportionately impacting the mass-market segment.) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:20:20 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.12% · Δ 30m -0.36% · px 201.62 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:20:20 | S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.64% · Δ 30m -0.16% · px 332.88 (prev 327.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:20:20 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Technology stocks including Nvidia and Amazon declined amid a broader market selloff driven by escalating military conflict between the US and Iran and rising oil prices.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.68% · Δ 30m -0.91% · px 346.13 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy GOOGL at close, exit next close (product: Google has launched a new AI-driven agentic defense security platform following the completion of its $32 billion acquisition of Wiz.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.84% · Δ 30m -0.50% · px 395.00 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.02% · Δ 30m -0.30% · px 201.83 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.00% · Δ 30m -0.80% · px 481.53 (prev 529.14) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (guidance: TSMC announced an additional $100 billion investment in U.S. chipmaking capacity and raised its annual revenue forecast and capital expenditure budget due to strong AI demand.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.74% · Δ 30m -0.72% · px 1747.38 (prev 1815.27) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S2 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.84% · Δ 30m -0.50% · px 395.00 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.02% · Δ 30m -0.30% · px 201.83 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:30:24 | S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy ASML at close, exit next close (other: ASML is considering raising prices for its chip-making equipment due to strong demand and limited capacity, a move that has drawn criticism from key customer TSMC and could increase costs across the semiconductor industry.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy ASML exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:40:04 | S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.77% · Δ 30m +0.14% · px 333.30 (prev 327.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:40:04 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.64% · Δ 30m -0.51% · px 346.31 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:40:04 | S4 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (other: Apple briefly surpassed Nvidia in market capitalization amid strong iPhone demand and a broader selloff in AI-related semiconductor stocks.) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:40:04 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.64% · Δ 30m -0.51% · px 346.31 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:40:04 | S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 13:40:04 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (regulatory: The European Union has approved new regulations requiring Google to allow third-party AI assistants and search services greater access to Android operating system functions.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:40:04 | S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.77% · Δ 30m +0.14% · px 333.30 (prev 327.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:40:04 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 13:40:04 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (partnership: Apple has received regulatory approval to launch Apple Intelligence in China by partnering with Alibaba and Baidu to provide local AI models instead of OpenAI's ChatGPT.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.89% · Δ 30m +0.24% · px 202.11 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.47% · Δ 30m -0.46% · px 479.02 (prev 529.14) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Nvidia shares plummeted and broader tech futures tumbled after Chinese AI startup DeepSeek released efficient models that challenged the assumption of escalating GPU demand.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.89% · Δ 30m -0.11% · px 394.78 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.89% · Δ 30m +0.24% · px 202.11 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSM at close, exit next close (other: Geopolitical tensions with Iran have driven a surge in oil prices and a simultaneous sell-off in technology stocks, with TSMC dropping 5% despite beating earnings as investors unwind crowded AI positions.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S1 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.47% · Δ 30m -0.46% · px 479.02 (prev 529.14) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S4 | AMD | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy AMD at close, exit next close (earnings: AMD reported strong Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings with significant revenue growth and raised its data center product outlook, driving a surge in its share price.) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.76% · Δ 30m -0.41% · px 345.86 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S3 | MSFT | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy MSFT (product: Google's flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro AI model is reportedly delayed by several months due to persistent shortcomings in coding performance compared to rivals.) |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (product: Google's flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro AI model is reportedly delayed by several months due to persistent shortcomings in coding performance compared to rivals.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 13:50:22 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.80% · Δ 30m +0.23% · px 202.29 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.04% · Δ 30m -0.05% · px 481.30 (prev 529.14) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (earnings: Samsung Electronics shares fell sharply despite reporting an 1,800% jump in operating profit, raising concerns about the stability of the broader semiconductor and big tech sector.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.81% · Δ 30m +0.03% · px 395.10 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.80% · Δ 30m +0.23% · px 202.29 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSM at close, exit next close (other: Global technology stocks, led by TSMC, declined amid growing investor skepticism regarding AI spending returns and renewed geopolitical tensions involving Iran.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S1 | MSFT | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy MSFT (analyst: Investors are rotating out of semiconductor stocks and into hyperscalers like Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta amid forecasts that AI capital expenditure growth will slow significantly in 2027 and 2028.) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.80% · Δ 30m +0.23% · px 202.29 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S4 | MSFT | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy MSFT at close, exit next close (analyst: Investors are rotating out of semiconductor stocks and into hyperscalers like Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta amid forecasts that AI capital expenditure growth will slow significantly in 2027 and 2028.) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.80% · Δ 30m +0.23% · px 202.29 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (product: Nvidia has released Cosmos 3 Edge, a new generative world foundation model for robotics and physical AI, aiming to provide a catalyst for its stock amid recent semiconductor sector volatility.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.69% · Δ 30m -0.03% · px 333.03 (prev 327.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 14:00:08 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AAPL at close, exit next close (regulatory: Apple is actively gathering evidence from former employees now at OpenAI to support its lawsuit alleging institutional theft of hardware trade secrets.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.90% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 333.73 (prev 327.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (other: Apple's market capitalization has nearly equaled Nvidia's as investor sentiment shifts toward Apple's AI monetization potential and earnings durability.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.07% · Δ 30m -0.47% · px 344.68 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.90% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 333.73 (prev 327.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (other: Technology stocks are projected to decline further due to disappointing guidance from Netflix, valuation concerns ahead of major earnings reports, and rising oil prices driven by geopolitical conflict in the Middle East.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.07% · Δ 30m -0.47% · px 344.68 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S3 | MSFT | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell MSFT (product: Chinese startup Moonshot unveiled Kimi K3, a 2.8 trillion-parameter open-weight AI model that challenges U.S. competitors, while reports indicate Alphabet's Gemini launch is delayed due to performance shortcomings.) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (product: Chinese startup Moonshot unveiled Kimi K3, a 2.8 trillion-parameter open-weight AI model that challenges U.S. competitors, while reports indicate Alphabet's Gemini launch is delayed due to performance shortcomings.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.07% · Δ 30m -0.47% · px 344.68 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S2 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (product: OpenAI has launched ChatGPT Atlas, an AI-powered web browser initially available on Apple devices, directly challenging Google Chrome's dominance in the search and browser market.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.20% · Δ 30m -0.61% · px 393.46 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.90% · Δ 30m +0.01% · px 202.09 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSM at close, exit next close (guidance: TSMC raised its 2026 capital expenditure guidance to $60-$64 billion, triggering a global sell-off in semiconductor stocks due to concerns over AI infrastructure valuation and spending scale.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.20% · Δ 30m -0.61% · px 393.46 (prev 419.48) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S2 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.90% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 333.73 (prev 327.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 14:10:22 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (other: TSMC plans to expand its Arizona manufacturing footprint to up to 12 facilities with an additional $100 billion investment, potentially benefiting domestic supply chains for customers like Apple.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -8.73% · Δ 30m -0.24% · px 825.34 (prev 904.28) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy MU at close, exit next close (other: Micron Technology has begun construction on its $100 billion semiconductor campus in New York by pouring the first concrete.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy MU exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.02% · Δ 30m -0.14% · px 201.83 (prev 212.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (partnership: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang encouraged investors to buy the recent dip in AI stocks and announced a multi-year partnership with SK Hynix to design future AI memory chips.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.18% · Δ 30m -0.68% · px 646.05 (prev 681.31) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S4 | META | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (partnership: Meta Platforms has reportedly entered into a long-term supply agreement with Sandisk to procure flash storage for its data centers to support its in-house AI chip production.) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.79% · Δ 30m +0.05% · px 333.36 (prev 327.50) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AAPL at close, exit next close (other: Global smartphone shipments fell 11% year-over-year in Q2 2026 to their lowest second-quarter level since 2013, with Apple losing its market share lead to Samsung amid rising memory costs and supply constraints.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 14:20:22 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.17% · Δ 30m +0.30% · px 202.90 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: MSFT -1.47% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (product: Nvidia is positioned as a primary beneficiary of the emerging humanoid robot market through its Isaac robotics platform, Jetson edge computers, and Omniverse simulation software.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.17% · Δ 30m +0.30% · px 202.90 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S2 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.95% · Δ 30m -1.07% · px 476.13 (prev 500.94) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (analyst: Nvidia is the sole semiconductor stock rising this month while the broader chip sector suffers its worst relative performance against software stocks since 2001 due to concerns over hyperscaler AI capital expenditure sustainability.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (regulatory: Apple has filed a trade secrets lawsuit against OpenAI and is shifting its AI foundation models to rely on Google's Gemini technology.) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S2 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -6.84% · Δ 30m -0.03% · px 345.54 (prev 370.92) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:30:10 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AAPL at close, exit next close (regulatory: Apple has filed a trade secrets lawsuit against OpenAI and is shifting its AI foundation models to rely on Google's Gemini technology.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:40:10 | S1 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.04% · Δ 30m -2.92% · px 465.67 (prev 500.94) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:40:10 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.65% · Δ 30m -1.12% · px 199.82 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:40:10 | S4 | AMD | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AMD at close, exit next close (other: Semiconductor stocks including AMD, Broadcom, and Micron led a global market sell-off amid concerns over AI investment sustainability and disappointing guidance from Netflix.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AMD exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:50:05 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (other: Apple has surpassed Nvidia to become the world's largest company by market capitalization following a decline in Nvidia shares and a slight rise in Apple stock.) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:50:05 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (other: Apple has surpassed Nvidia to become the world's largest company by market capitalization following a decline in Nvidia shares and a slight rise in Apple stock.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 14:50:05 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.96% · Δ 30m -1.31% · px 199.19 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:50:05 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.75% · Δ 30m -3.75% · px 462.12 (prev 500.94) |
| Fri Jul-17 14:50:05 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty triggered a broad market sell-off, pressuring semiconductor stocks including Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom, and Qualcomm.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:00:04 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.68% · Δ 30m -0.52% · px 201.85 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:00:04 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.64% · Δ 30m +0.33% · px 477.71 (prev 500.94) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:00:04 | S1 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.64% · Δ 30m +0.33% · px 477.71 (prev 500.94) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:00:04 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.68% · Δ 30m -0.52% · px 201.85 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:00:04 | S4 | AMD | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AMD at close, exit next close (other: Market concerns over Chinese AI model Kimi K3 and potential portfolio manager distress are driving a sell-off in semiconductor stocks including AMD and Micron.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AMD exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:00:04 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict UNKNOWN — Δ prev close -2.12% · px 346.93 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:00:04 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy GOOGL at close, exit next close (other: Warren Buffett confirmed he personally initiated Berkshire Hathaway's investment in Alphabet to fund its AI infrastructure buildout, clarifying the strategic driver behind the stake.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.46% · Δ 30m -1.00% · px 634.92 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.37% · Δ 30m -1.34% · px 391.58 (prev 401.10) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell META at close, exit next close (other: Bonds issued by hyperscalers Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon to fund AI infrastructure are underperforming, signaling growing market unease over the scale of AI capital expenditure.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.20% · Δ 30m +2.11% · px 1745.55 (prev 1784.87) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.23% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy ASML at close, exit next close (earnings: ASML reported second-quarter earnings that exceeded guidance and raised its full-year financial outlook, citing strong demand for AI infrastructure and equipment upgrades.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy ASML exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (product: Apple has reportedly delayed its in-house 'Baltra' AI server chip due to performance limitations, leading the company to rely on Nvidia GPUs hosted on Google Cloud infrastructure.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S2 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.18% · Δ 30m +1.00% · px 346.75 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AAPL at close, exit next close (product: Apple has reportedly delayed its in-house 'Baltra' AI server chip due to performance limitations, leading the company to rely on Nvidia GPUs hosted on Google Cloud infrastructure.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSM |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S3 | NVDA | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell NVDA (earnings: TSMC shares plunged over 7% in Asian trading despite reporting blockbuster earnings and raising sales growth forecasts, as a broader tech rout and fading AI exuberance triggered a sell-off in semiconductor stocks.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSM |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.33% · Δ 30m +3.05% · px 400.20 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.23% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 15:10:14 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (product: TSMC announced that mass production of its advanced A14 process node is scheduled to begin in 2028, promising significant performance and power efficiency improvements.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.62% · Δ 30m +0.44% · px 345.16 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.07% · Δ 30m -0.25% · px 392.80 (prev 401.10) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (regulatory: The European Union has ordered Google to provide rival AI assistants and search engines with greater access to Android features and anonymized search data under the Digital Markets Act.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.04% · Δ 30m +2.75% · px 401.39 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S2 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (product: TSMC reports no development obstacles for its 1.4nm node with risk production scheduled for 2027, signaling continued technological leadership in advanced semiconductor manufacturing.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S3 | NVDA | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy NVDA (product: TSMC reports no development obstacles for its 1.4nm node with risk production scheduled for 2027, signaling continued technological leadership in advanced semiconductor manufacturing.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (product: TSMC reports no development obstacles for its 1.4nm node with risk production scheduled for 2027, signaling continued technological leadership in advanced semiconductor manufacturing.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.13% · Δ 30m +6.17% · px 871.35 (prev 853.20) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S3 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (other: India's smartphone shipments fell 10% in Q2 2026 due to a severe DRAM and NAND memory shortage that quadrupled component costs and forced significant price hikes.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy MU at close, exit next close (other: India's smartphone shipments fell 10% in Q2 2026 due to a severe DRAM and NAND memory shortage that quadrupled component costs and forced significant price hikes.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy MU exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S1 | NVDA | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell NVDA (other: US semiconductor stocks including Nvidia, Micron, and TSMC declined sharply amid broader market selling driven by concerns over AI valuation sustainability and geopolitical tensions.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S3 | AMD | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell AMD (other: US semiconductor stocks including Nvidia, Micron, and TSMC declined sharply amid broader market selling driven by concerns over AI valuation sustainability and geopolitical tensions.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:20:21 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: US semiconductor stocks including Nvidia, Micron, and TSMC declined sharply amid broader market selling driven by concerns over AI valuation sustainability and geopolitical tensions.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:30:08 | S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.10% · Δ 30m +2.82% · px 871.09 (prev 853.20) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:30:08 | S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell MU at close, exit next close (other: Chinese memory chipmaker CXMT is launching a major IPO to challenge the DRAM oligopoly dominated by Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy MU exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:30:08 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.74% · Δ 30m +0.85% · px 398.53 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:30:08 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.69% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 15:30:08 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported a 77% increase in Q2 net income and announced an additional $100bn investment to expand its US manufacturing footprint in Arizona.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:40:27 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (earnings: Apple reported fiscal Q2 2026 earnings that beat expectations with record revenue of $111.2 billion and a 22% increase in iPhone sales.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:40:27 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (earnings: Apple reported fiscal Q2 2026 earnings that beat expectations with record revenue of $111.2 billion and a 22% increase in iPhone sales.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:40:27 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.38% · Δ 30m +0.08% · px 635.46 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:40:27 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 15:40:27 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (product: Meta launched a commercial cloud service using its internal GPU fleet and raised 2026 capex guidance, causing CoreWeave shares to drop 35% on fears of customer cannibalization.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:40:27 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.50% · Δ 30m -0.27% · px 204.29 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:40:27 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 15:40:27 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (partnership: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang urged investors to buy the dip in AI stocks and announced a multi-year partnership with SK Hynix to design future AI memory chips.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.03% · Δ 30m +0.61% · px 347.25 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.38% · Δ 30m -0.31% · px 391.57 (prev 401.10) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (product: Google has delayed the launch of its Gemini 3.5 Pro AI model due to performance concerns, causing Alphabet shares to fall as competitors gain ground.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.89% · Δ 30m -0.20% · px 632.06 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S2 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.03% · Δ 30m +0.61% · px 347.25 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell META at close, exit next close (analyst: Meta Platforms shares declined following a Citi research note projecting significantly higher 2027 capital expenditures and negative free cash flow for Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon due to AI infrastructure spending.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S1 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.30% · Δ 30m -0.43% · px 489.41 (prev 500.94) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S2 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.99% · Δ 30m +0.05% · px 401.58 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S3 | QCOM | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell QCOM (other: Semiconductor stocks including AMD, Nvidia, and Broadcom declined due to investor concerns over AI infrastructure spending returns and margin compression fears linked to TSMC's capex guidance.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S4 | AMD | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AMD at close, exit next close (other: Semiconductor stocks including AMD, Nvidia, and Broadcom declined due to investor concerns over AI infrastructure spending returns and margin compression fears linked to TSMC's capex guidance.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AMD exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (other: Apple has surpassed Nvidia to become the world's most valuable company with a market capitalization of approximately $4.88 trillion compared to Nvidia's $4.85 trillion.) |
| Fri Jul-17 15:50:15 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (other: Apple has surpassed Nvidia to become the world's most valuable company with a market capitalization of approximately $4.88 trillion compared to Nvidia's $4.85 trillion.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.08% · Δ 30m -0.40% · px 203.08 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S3 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.78% · Δ 30m -0.24% · px 380.18 (prev 391.06) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (product: Nvidia announced its Cosmos world model AI platform designed to enable real-time inference and physical reasoning for robotics and autonomous systems.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.08% · Δ 30m -0.40% · px 203.08 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S3 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (other: US and Asian tech stocks declined after Chinese firm Moonshot unveiled its Kimi K3 AI model, intensifying concerns about competition and the sustainability of AI infrastructure spending.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: US and Asian tech stocks declined after Chinese firm Moonshot unveiled its Kimi K3 AI model, intensifying concerns about competition and the sustainability of AI infrastructure spending.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.54% · Δ 30m +0.03% · px 345.47 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy GOOGL at close, exit next close (other: Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a $4.3 billion stake in Alphabet, marking a significant portfolio shift under new CEO Greg Abel toward AI-focused investments.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S1 | PLTR | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.90% · Δ 30m -0.01% · px 131.88 (prev 134.44) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.08% · Δ 30m -0.40% · px 203.08 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:00:19 | S4 | PLTR | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy PLTR at close, exit next close (partnership: Palantir shares rallied following announcements of a new partnership with Nvidia for secure government AI deployment and a contract with the US Army.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy PLTR exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.98% · Δ 30m -0.48% · px 203.30 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S2 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AMZN (analyst: Nvidia's stock valuation has compressed to multi-year lows due to sector rotation toward memory chips and concerns over customer competition from Amazon's in-house AI chip development.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S3 | MU | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy MU (analyst: Nvidia's stock valuation has compressed to multi-year lows due to sector rotation toward memory chips and concerns over customer competition from Amazon's in-house AI chip development.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (analyst: Nvidia's stock valuation has compressed to multi-year lows due to sector rotation toward memory chips and concerns over customer competition from Amazon's in-house AI chip development.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.80% · Δ 30m -0.38% · px 380.10 (prev 391.06) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S4 | TSLA | ● enter | ▼ short | overnight drift: sell TSLA at close, exit next close (regulatory: Tesla faces increased competition in the UK from Chinese EV makers like Geely and BYD, compounded by potential regulatory changes that could reduce the zero-emission vehicle mandate and impact Tesla's regulatory credit revenue.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (regulatory: Apple filed a lawsuit against OpenAI alleging theft of trade secrets and misappropriation of proprietary information by former employees, marking a breakdown in their previous partnership.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.21% · Δ 30m +0.08% · px 346.63 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AAPL at close, exit next close (regulatory: Apple filed a lawsuit against OpenAI alleging theft of trade secrets and misappropriation of proprietary information by former employees, marking a breakdown in their previous partnership.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.39% · Δ 30m -1.06% · px 628.72 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell META at close, exit next close (regulatory: The European Commission has formally charged Meta with breaching the Digital Services Act by using addictive design features and failing to protect minors.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (regulatory: US lawmakers are urging the Commerce Department to block American companies, including Apple, from purchasing memory chips from Chinese manufacturers like CXMT due to national security concerns.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S3 | MU | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy MU (regulatory: US lawmakers are urging the Commerce Department to block American companies, including Apple, from purchasing memory chips from Chinese manufacturers like CXMT due to national security concerns.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AAPL at close, exit next close (regulatory: US lawmakers are urging the Commerce Department to block American companies, including Apple, from purchasing memory chips from Chinese manufacturers like CXMT due to national security concerns.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.80% · Δ 30m -0.38% · px 380.10 (prev 391.06) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSLA at close, exit next close (regulatory: Federal investigators concluded that driver error, not Tesla's self-driving software, caused a fatal crash, potentially mitigating immediate regulatory liability for the automaker.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSLA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:20:06 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (other: Global smartphone shipments fell 11% in Q2 2026 due to memory chip shortages driven by AI data center demand, while Apple gained market share and Samsung retained the top spot.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:20:06 | S3 | MU | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy MU (other: Global smartphone shipments fell 11% in Q2 2026 due to memory chip shortages driven by AI data center demand, while Apple gained market share and Samsung retained the top spot.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:20:06 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (other: Global smartphone shipments fell 11% in Q2 2026 due to memory chip shortages driven by AI data center demand, while Apple gained market share and Samsung retained the top spot.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.64% · Δ 30m +0.45% · px 203.99 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S3 | AVGO | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.46% · Δ 30m +0.01% · px 368.99 (prev 374.45) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Growing investor anxiety regarding data center operator distress due to rising energy costs and falling compute prices threatens the AI infrastructure spending outlook for major tech and semiconductor companies.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.64% · Δ 30m +0.45% · px 203.99 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.88% · Δ 30m +0.02% · px 486.51 (prev 500.94) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Global semiconductor stocks, led by Nvidia and TSMC, declined sharply amid concerns over valuations and the sustainability of AI-driven demand.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.90% · Δ 30m -0.21% · px 397.85 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.64% · Δ 30m +0.45% · px 203.99 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S3 | AVGO | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.46% · Δ 30m +0.01% · px 368.99 (prev 374.45) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:30:08 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported Q2 2026 earnings that beat estimates and raised its 2026 revenue growth outlook to over 40% driven by strong AI demand and increased capital spending.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:40:28 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.93% · Δ 30m +0.28% · px 347.61 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:40:28 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.21% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 16:40:28 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 16:40:28 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy GOOGL at close, exit next close (guidance: Alphabet confirmed Google Cloud revenue was constrained by capacity limits rather than demand, citing a $462 billion backlog and signaling accelerated capital expenditure to expand AI infrastructure.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S1 | AMD | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AMD (product: Jefferies anticipates AMD will announce new GPU disclosures and customer deals, potentially with Anthropic, at its upcoming Advancing AI event.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S3 | NVDA | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell NVDA (product: Jefferies anticipates AMD will announce new GPU disclosures and customer deals, potentially with Anthropic, at its upcoming Advancing AI event.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S4 | AMD | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AMD at close, exit next close (product: Jefferies anticipates AMD will announce new GPU disclosures and customer deals, potentially with Anthropic, at its upcoming Advancing AI event.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AMD exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S1 | ASML | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy ASML (earnings: ASML announced a €20,000 employee share award and raised its annual sales forecast to €43-45 billion driven by strong AI demand, while noting TSMC and other chipmakers are issuing similar bonuses.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S2 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.42% · Δ 30m +0.72% · px 399.83 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.21% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy ASML at close, exit next close (earnings: ASML announced a €20,000 employee share award and raised its annual sales forecast to €43-45 billion driven by strong AI demand, while noting TSMC and other chipmakers are issuing similar bonuses.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy ASML exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.42% · Δ 30m +0.72% · px 399.83 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.21% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported Q2 revenue growth of 34% year-on-year, beat estimates, raised full-year revenue and capital expenditure guidance, and received a price target increase from DA Davidson.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AMZN (partnership: Anthropic has secured significant AI data center capacity and chip supply through partnerships with SpaceX, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Broadcom, highlighting strong demand for immediate compute infrastructure.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S2 | AVGO | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AVGO (partnership: Anthropic has secured significant AI data center capacity and chip supply through partnerships with SpaceX, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Broadcom, highlighting strong demand for immediate compute infrastructure.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S4 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy AMZN at close, exit next close (partnership: Anthropic has secured significant AI data center capacity and chip supply through partnerships with SpaceX, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Broadcom, highlighting strong demand for immediate compute infrastructure.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (other: Apple has overtaken Nvidia to become the world's most valuable company as semiconductor stocks pull back and investors shift focus toward sustainable AI earnings.) |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (other: Apple has overtaken Nvidia to become the world's most valuable company as semiconductor stocks pull back and investors shift focus toward sustainable AI earnings.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 16:50:12 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.06% · Δ 30m +0.61% · px 382.98 (prev 391.06) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSLA at close, exit next close (earnings: Bank of America reiterated a Buy rating on Tesla ahead of its Q2 earnings, citing strong robotaxi expansion and delivery numbers that beat consensus estimates.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSLA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | TSM | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy TSM (earnings: TSMC reported record quarterly profit, raised its capital expenditure forecast, and pledged an additional $100 billion investment in its Arizona operations.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.03% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | ASML | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy ASML (earnings: TSMC reported record quarterly profit, raised its capital expenditure forecast, and pledged an additional $100 billion investment in its Arizona operations.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported record quarterly profit, raised its capital expenditure forecast, and pledged an additional $100 billion investment in its Arizona operations.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.90% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 347.72 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.11% · Δ 30m +0.39% · px 392.65 (prev 401.10) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (product: Alphabet stock declined following a report that its Gemini 3.5 Pro AI model is months behind schedule and lagging competitors in coding capabilities.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | AMD | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AMD (analyst: Multiple Wall Street firms raised price targets for AMD, with KeyBanc setting a new street-high of $725, citing strong AI and data center demand.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | AMD | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AMD at close, exit next close (analyst: Multiple Wall Street firms raised price targets for AMD, with KeyBanc setting a new street-high of $725, citing strong AI and data center demand.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AMD exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.03% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.90% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 347.72 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (other: A Chinese AI model named Kimi-K3 surpassed US models in coding benchmarks, triggering a sell-off in US tech and semiconductor stocks amid renewed fears of an AI bubble and competitive disruption.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (other: A Chinese AI model named Kimi-K3 surpassed US models in coding benchmarks, triggering a sell-off in US tech and semiconductor stocks amid renewed fears of an AI bubble and competitive disruption.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.77% · Δ 30m +0.45% · px 632.84 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S2 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.90% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 347.72 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | NVDA | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell NVDA (product: Meta's custom Iris AI chip passed testing and is heading to manufacturing, with Broadcom serving as the design partner for Meta, Google, and OpenAI's custom silicon programs.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (product: Meta's custom Iris AI chip passed testing and is heading to manufacturing, with Broadcom serving as the design partner for Meta, Google, and OpenAI's custom silicon programs.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.77% · Δ 30m +0.45% · px 632.84 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell META at close, exit next close (regulatory: A US federal judge cleared a states' expert to testify regarding Meta's profits and alleged harms to teen users in an upcoming social media trial, rejecting Meta's bid to block the testimony.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.90% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 347.72 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S2 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMZN |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.03% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy GOOGL at close, exit next close (guidance: Alphabet announced plans to double its 2026 capital expenditures to $175-190 billion to address AI infrastructure capacity shortages, citing strong demand that exceeds current supply capabilities.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.77% · Δ 30m +0.45% · px 632.84 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell META at close, exit next close (other: Meta Platforms shares dropped significantly following a Financial Times report speculating about a potential large equity offering to fund AI infrastructure, which the company later dismissed as pure speculation.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.06% · Δ 30m +0.61% · px 382.98 (prev 391.06) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSLA at close, exit next close (other: Tesla stock faces downward pressure from skepticism regarding a potential SpaceX merger and political uncertainty ahead of its Q2 earnings report.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSLA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | SMCI | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy SMCI (partnership: Supermicro CEO announced a partnership to build a gigawatt-scale AI data center for SpaceX with a targeted completion in 2027.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | SMCI | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy SMCI at close, exit next close (partnership: Supermicro CEO announced a partnership to build a gigawatt-scale AI data center for SpaceX with a targeted completion in 2027.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | AVGO | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AVGO (analyst: Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya advises buying the current semiconductor sector correction, characterizing the recent drawdown as a typical reset following a historic rally.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | AMD | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AMD (analyst: Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya advises buying the current semiconductor sector correction, characterizing the recent drawdown as a typical reset following a historic rally.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | AVGO | ● enter | ▲ long | overnight drift: buy AVGO at close, exit next close (analyst: Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya advises buying the current semiconductor sector correction, characterizing the recent drawdown as a typical reset following a historic rally.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.06% · Δ 30m +0.61% · px 382.98 (prev 391.06) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSLA at close, exit next close (regulatory: The National Highway Traffic Safety Administrator discussed new federal safety efforts and regulations for autonomous vehicles following a deadly Tesla crash and growing concerns over robo-taxis.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSLA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S1 | NVDA | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy NVDA (product: Nvidia announced a partnership with Japan's Noetra consortium to build a national AI factory utilizing 27,500 Rubin GPUs and Vera CPUs for the FRONTia program.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 17:00:22 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (product: Nvidia announced a partnership with Japan's Noetra consortium to build a national AI factory utilizing 27,500 Rubin GPUs and Vera CPUs for the FRONTia program.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.20% · Δ 30m -0.28% · px 346.65 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (regulatory: The Trump administration is preparing new federal safety rules and performance tests for autonomous vehicles, specifically citing recent incidents involving Waymo and broader industry concerns.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.23% · Δ 30m -0.02% · px 204.84 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S3 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (other: The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has officially entered a bear market after falling more than 20% from its peak, driven by profit-taking and concerns over the sustainability of AI capital expenditure demand.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has officially entered a bear market after falling more than 20% from its peak, driven by profit-taking and concerns over the sustainability of AI capital expenditure demand.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.20% · Δ 30m -0.28% · px 346.65 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.40% · Δ 30m -0.15% · px 391.49 (prev 401.10) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (other: Alphabet shares declined significantly following the departure of key AI researchers, including Nobel laureate John Jumper and Gemini architect Noam Shazeer, to rival firms Anthropic and OpenAI.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S1 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S4 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.76% · Δ 30m +0.39% · px 632.93 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S2 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.40% · Δ 30m -0.15% · px 391.49 (prev 401.10) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.20% · Δ 30m -0.28% · px 346.65 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (earnings: Meta Platforms reported record Q2 revenue and earnings that beat estimates, raised Q3 guidance, and increased its annual capital expenditure forecast, driving an 11% surge in after-hours stock price.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (analyst: HSBC upgraded Apple to Buy with a $366 price target, citing AI-driven upgrade cycles and a partnership with Alphabet, while the broader semiconductor sector experienced a pullback due to AI spending concerns.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S2 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.20% · Δ 30m -0.28% · px 346.65 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (analyst: HSBC upgraded Apple to Buy with a $366 price target, citing AI-driven upgrade cycles and a partnership with Alphabet, while the broader semiconductor sector experienced a pullback due to AI spending concerns.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S1 | TSM | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy TSM (earnings: TSMC reported record quarterly profits and increased its US investment commitment to $265 billion, specifically expanding CoWoS advanced packaging capacity in Arizona to alleviate AI accelerator supply bottlenecks.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.23% · Δ 30m -0.02% · px 204.84 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S3 | AVGO | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AVGO (earnings: TSMC reported record quarterly profits and increased its US investment commitment to $265 billion, specifically expanding CoWoS advanced packaging capacity in Arizona to alleviate AI accelerator supply bottlenecks.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported record quarterly profits and increased its US investment commitment to $265 billion, specifically expanding CoWoS advanced packaging capacity in Arizona to alleviate AI accelerator supply bottlenecks.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AMZN (regulatory: Amazon-owned Zoox is recalling its entire autonomous vehicle fleet due to safety concerns regarding smoke detection and interference with emergency responders.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S3 | TSLA | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell TSLA (regulatory: Amazon-owned Zoox is recalling its entire autonomous vehicle fleet due to safety concerns regarding smoke detection and interference with emergency responders.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:10:09 | S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AMZN at close, exit next close (regulatory: Amazon-owned Zoox is recalling its entire autonomous vehicle fleet due to safety concerns regarding smoke detection and interference with emergency responders.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AMZN exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (other: Apple has surpassed Nvidia to become the world's most valuable company as investors shift focus from AI infrastructure spending to AI monetization and ecosystem durability.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (other: Apple has surpassed Nvidia to become the world's most valuable company as investors shift focus from AI infrastructure spending to AI monetization and ecosystem durability.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S1 | TSM | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell TSM (other: AI and semiconductor stocks, including TSMC and Micron, declined amid concerns over unsustainable valuations and AI profitability, while broader tech indexes fell due to global market weakness.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.04% · Δ 30m +0.17% · px 205.24 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSM at close, exit next close (other: AI and semiconductor stocks, including TSMC and Micron, declined amid concerns over unsustainable valuations and AI profitability, while broader tech indexes fell due to global market weakness.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AMZN (other: Investor demand for AI-related corporate debt is declining as hyperscalers like Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Nvidia increase bond issuances to fund infrastructure spending.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.10% · Δ 30m +0.08% · px 392.68 (prev 401.10) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AMZN at close, exit next close (other: Investor demand for AI-related corporate debt is declining as hyperscalers like Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Nvidia increase bond issuances to fund infrastructure spending.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AMZN exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (m&a: Apple is reportedly seeking to acquire AI chip companies to reduce reliance on Nvidia and enhance on-device AI capabilities for the iPhone.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.04% · Δ 30m +0.17% · px 205.24 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 17:20:14 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (m&a: Apple is reportedly seeking to acquire AI chip companies to reduce reliance on Nvidia and enhance on-device AI capabilities for the iPhone.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:30:13 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.14% · Δ 30m +1.71% · px 643.69 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:30:13 | S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 17:30:13 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (partnership: Meta Platforms is reportedly in negotiations for a $10 billion compute deal with AI firm Anthropic.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:30:13 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.14% · Δ 30m +1.71% · px 643.69 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:30:13 | S3 | AMZN | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AMZN (product: Meta Platforms confirmed it is developing a cloud computing service called Meta Compute, causing its stock to surge 15% as it prepares to compete with Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:30:13 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (product: Meta Platforms confirmed it is developing a cloud computing service called Meta Compute, causing its stock to surge 15% as it prepares to compete with Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:31:25 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.78% · Δ 30m +1.04% · px 639.42 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:31:25 | S2 | AMZN | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AMZN (other: Meta Platforms has hired former AWS senior vice president Dave Brown to lead its compute and machine learning infrastructure strategy.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:31:25 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (other: Meta Platforms has hired former AWS senior vice president Dave Brown to lead its compute and machine learning infrastructure strategy.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:39:11 | S1 | ASML | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy ASML (other: ASML is negotiating a potential 10% price increase for its lithography equipment with TSMC, which is resisting the hike amid ongoing supply constraints.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:39:11 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.07% · Δ 30m +0.17% · px 205.18 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:39:11 | S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy ASML at close, exit next close (other: ASML is negotiating a potential 10% price increase for its lithography equipment with TSMC, which is resisting the hike amid ongoing supply constraints.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy ASML exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:42:16 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 17:42:16 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 17:42:16 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 17:46:44 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.76% · Δ 30m +0.12% · px 384.17 (prev 391.06) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:46:44 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.01% · Δ 30m +0.19% · px 205.30 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:46:44 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSLA at close, exit next close (m&a: Elon Musk acquired Florida-based mobile gas-turbine provider New APR Energy for approximately $1 billion to secure power for AI data center operations.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSLA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:49:40 | S1 | AVGO | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> buy AVGO (partnership: Powertech Technology Inc. plans to invest $400 million in a joint venture with Broadcom in Singapore to produce advanced package substrates for AI chips, with AMD also identified as a key customer.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:49:40 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 17:49:40 | S4 | AVGO | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AVGO at close, exit next close (partnership: Powertech Technology Inc. plans to invest $400 million in a joint venture with Broadcom in Singapore to produce advanced package substrates for AI chips, with AMD also identified as a key customer.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AVGO exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 17:49:40 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.79% · Δ 30m -0.05% · px 402.40 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:49:40 | S3 | NVDA | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy NVDA (product: TSMC announced plans to build three additional advanced packaging facilities in Phase II of the Chiayi Science Park to strengthen regional manufacturing resilience.) |
| Fri Jul-17 17:49:40 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (product: TSMC announced plans to build three additional advanced packaging facilities in Phase II of the Chiayi Science Park to strengthen regional manufacturing resilience.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:00:26 | S1 | AMD | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AMD (analyst: Jefferies analysts anticipate AMD will announce new AI customer deals, potentially with Anthropic, and raise its AI market estimates at its upcoming Advancing AI event.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:00:26 | S2 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.74% · Δ 30m +0.40% · px 394.11 (prev 401.10) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:00:26 | S3 | NVDA | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell NVDA (analyst: Jefferies analysts anticipate AMD will announce new AI customer deals, potentially with Anthropic, and raise its AI market estimates at its upcoming Advancing AI event.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:00:26 | S4 | AMD | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AMD at close, exit next close (analyst: Jefferies analysts anticipate AMD will announce new AI customer deals, potentially with Anthropic, and raise its AI market estimates at its upcoming Advancing AI event.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AMD exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:00:26 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (regulatory: Apple is in early settlement discussions with the US Department of Justice regarding a 2024 antitrust lawsuit alleging violations of competition laws.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:00:26 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (regulatory: Apple is in early settlement discussions with the US Department of Justice regarding a 2024 antitrust lawsuit alleging violations of competition laws.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:10:02 | S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AMZN (product: Amazon reported strong AWS growth and announced significant AI infrastructure investments and product expansions, including partnerships with OpenAI and custom silicon advancements.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:10:02 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.68% · Δ 30m +0.29% · px 394.36 (prev 401.10) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:10:02 | S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AMZN at close, exit next close (product: Amazon reported strong AWS growth and announced significant AI infrastructure investments and product expansions, including partnerships with OpenAI and custom silicon advancements.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AMZN exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:20:01 | S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +4.79% · Δ 30m +0.02% · px 894.04 (prev 853.20) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:20:01 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 18:20:01 | S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell MU at close, exit next close (other: Chinese memory manufacturer CXMT is rapidly expanding DRAM production capacity to levels comparable with Micron, posing a potential competitive threat to established US and South Korean memory chipmakers.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy MU exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:20:01 | S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AMZN (other: Amazon completed a $25 billion bond sale to finance its AI data center infrastructure expansion, signaling strong commitment to its cloud computing growth strategy.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:20:01 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 18:20:01 | S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AMZN at close, exit next close (other: Amazon completed a $25 billion bond sale to finance its AI data center infrastructure expansion, signaling strong commitment to its cloud computing growth strategy.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AMZN exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (product: Apple has increased orders for ultra-thin glass substrates, signaling intensified preparation for the launch of its first foldable iPhone in late 2026 or early 2027.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (product: Apple has increased orders for ultra-thin glass substrates, signaling intensified preparation for the launch of its first foldable iPhone in late 2026 or early 2027.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S1 | AMZN | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AMZN (product: Amazon's AWS custom silicon business has surpassed $1 billion in annual revenue, signaling successful scaling of its in-house chip efforts for cloud workloads.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AMZN at close, exit next close (product: Amazon's AWS custom silicon business has surpassed $1 billion in annual revenue, signaling successful scaling of its in-house chip efforts for cloud workloads.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AMZN exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.19% · Δ 30m +0.06% · px 649.99 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (other: Meta announced a $50 billion investment to build its largest AI data center in Louisiana, significantly increasing its previous commitment to meet AI infrastructure demand.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S1 | AAPL | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy AAPL (product: Apple plans to release only a base M6 chip later this year while skipping Pro, Max, and Ultra variants to accelerate the launch of the more AI-capable M7 family.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AAPL at close, exit next close (product: Apple plans to release only a base M6 chip later this year while skipping Pro, Max, and Ultra variants to accelerate the launch of the more AI-capable M7 family.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.73% · Δ 30m -0.45% · px 344.77 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (regulatory: The European Commission has ordered Google to grant rival AI assistants deep access to Android features under the Digital Markets Act, with compliance required by 2027.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S1 | NVDA | ● enter | ▲ long | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy NVDA (partnership: Nvidia announced partnerships with Japanese robotics leaders Fanuc and Yaskawa Electric to integrate its AI platforms into industrial robots, alongside a government-backed chip purchase commitment.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 18:40:13 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (partnership: Nvidia announced partnerships with Japanese robotics leaders Fanuc and Yaskawa Electric to integrate its AI platforms into industrial robots, alongside a government-backed chip purchase commitment.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:50:06 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.98% · Δ 30m -0.33% · px 401.61 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:50:06 | S3 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (other: Global stock markets and semiconductor shares declined due to concerns over the sustainability of AI demand and the release of a new Chinese AI model, while Netflix fell on missed revenue expectations.) |
| Fri Jul-17 18:50:06 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSM at close, exit next close (other: Global stock markets and semiconductor shares declined due to concerns over the sustainability of AI demand and the release of a new Chinese AI model, while Netflix fell on missed revenue expectations.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 18:50:06 | S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 18:50:06 | S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL |
| Fri Jul-17 20:10:15 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.48% · Δ 30m -0.49% · px 395.48 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:10:15 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.27% · Δ 30m -0.26% · px 202.69 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:10:15 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSM at close, exit next close (other: Taiwan's TAIEX index suffered a historic 6.47% decline driven by a massive selloff in TSMC and broader technology shares as investors unwound AI-related positions.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 20:20:15 | S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.05% · Δ 30m -0.42% · px 1748.31 (prev 1784.87) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:20:15 | S3 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.52% · Δ 30m -0.31% · px 395.31 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:20:15 | S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy ASML at close, exit next close (earnings: ASML reported Q2 2026 earnings that beat revenue and earnings estimates and raised future guidance driven by strong demand for memory chips.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy ASML exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.07% · Δ 30m -0.12% · px 203.10 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | S3 | AMD | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AMD (regulatory: China announced the formation of the World AI Cooperation Organization with 29 founding members and showcased Huawei's Atlas 950 SuperPoD to compete with Nvidia, signaling increased geopolitical and competitive pressure on US semiconductor dominance.) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (regulatory: China announced the formation of the World AI Cooperation Organization with 29 founding members and showcased Huawei's Atlas 950 SuperPoD to compete with Nvidia, signaling increased geopolitical and competitive pressure on US semiconductor dominance.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.70% · Δ 30m +0.47% · px 398.68 (prev 409.74) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.07% · Δ 30m -0.12% · px 203.10 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported record earnings and raised full-year revenue guidance, but its shares fell nearly 4% in pre-market trading as broader semiconductor stocks extended their slide amid concerns over AI trade valuations.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.08% · Δ 30m -0.27% · px 644.10 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 20:30:17 | S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (product: Meta announced a $9.24 billion investment to build its first Canadian AI data center in Sturgeon County, Alberta, featuring one gigawatt of capacity.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 20:40:23 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.41% · Δ 30m +0.04% · px 381.65 (prev 391.06) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:40:23 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA |
| Fri Jul-17 20:40:23 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSLA at close, exit next close (partnership: SpaceX is in negotiations to sell computing power to the US Department of Defense in a deal potentially worth several billion dollars.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSLA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 20:50:08 | S1 | PLTR | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.77% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 132.06 (prev 134.44) |
| Fri Jul-17 20:50:08 | S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.86% since prev close |
| Fri Jul-17 20:50:08 | S4 | PLTR | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy PLTR at close, exit next close (earnings: Palantir reported a 104% year-over-year surge in U.S. revenue and raised full-year guidance, highlighting a new partnership with Nvidia and a core role in the U.S. Army's NGC2 modernization program.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy PLTR exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.85% · Δ 30m -0.46% · px 379.90 (prev 391.06) |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell TSLA at close, exit next close (other: Tesla shares fell 5.4% to a new closing low following the scrubbed Starship test flight by SpaceX, which is linked to CEO Elon Musk.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell TSLA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S1 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.03% · Δ 30m +0.49% · px 495.76 (prev 500.94) |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S2 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.46% · Δ 30m -0.14% · px 202.29 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S4 | AMD | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy AMD at close, exit next close (product: AMD is preparing to showcase its next-generation MI500 AI hardware and potentially announce new major cloud customers like Anthropic at its upcoming Advancing AI conference.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy AMD exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.41% · Δ 30m +0.47% · px 345.93 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S3 | META | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for META |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy GOOGL at close, exit next close (earnings: Analysts present a bullish case for Alphabet ahead of its Q2 earnings report, citing accelerating AI-driven innovation and sustained strength in its digital advertising business.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.46% · Δ 30m -0.14% · px 202.29 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S3 | MU | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MU |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (regulatory: The U.S. International Trade Commission has launched a patent infringement investigation into Samsung AI memory chips, naming Nvidia, Google, Broadcom, and Super Micro Computer as respondents in the dispute.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.46% · Δ 30m -0.14% · px 202.29 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:53 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (product: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang denied reports of delays for the Vera Rubin AI systems, confirming they are already in production and on track for high-volume delivery.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 21:34:41 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict UNKNOWN — Δ prev close -2.35% · px 202.53 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 21:34:41 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 21:34:41 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (regulatory: Chinese President Xi Jinping advocated for open-source AI and international cooperation at the World Artificial Intelligence Conference, highlighting geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions that negatively impact Nvidia's market access.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 21:34:41 | S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict UNKNOWN — Δ prev close -2.35% · px 202.53 (prev 207.40) |
| Fri Jul-17 21:34:41 | S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMD |
| Fri Jul-17 21:34:41 | S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy NVDA at close, exit next close (product: Nvidia unveiled new edge AI hardware, robot foundation models, and software updates to expand its physical AI and robotics portfolio.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
| Fri Jul-17 22:09:41 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.30% · Δ 30m +0.03% · px 346.31 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 22:09:41 | S3 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.02% · Δ 30m +0.00% · px 644.50 (prev 664.54) |
| Fri Jul-17 22:09:41 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.30% · Δ 30m +0.03% · px 346.31 (prev 354.46) |
| Fri Jul-17 22:09:41 | S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 22:09:41 | S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for TSLA |
| Fri Jul-17 22:09:41 | S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| Fri Jul-17 22:09:41 | S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT |
| Fri Jul-17 22:09:41 | S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for GOOGL |
| at | ticker | side | P&L $ | mfe | mae | reflection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Jul-17 20:57:22 | TSM | ▲ long | -23.02 | +0.52% | -5.59% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale bet on positive-news overnight drift from TSMC's capex/investment headlines, but the market had likely already priced the news in by the close — the trade never got more than +0.52% ahead and bled to a -2.8% loss with a -5.59% max drawdown, suggesting you bought a sentiment peak, not a drift setup. Improvement: Add a filter requiring the news to break after the prior close or intraday (so it isn't already reflected in the entry price), or require the stock to be flat-to-down on the day despite the good news before taking the overnight position. Alternatively, add a hard stop around -2% since a -5.6% adverse excursion on a "drift" thesis means the thesis was dead long before the exit. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:57:31 | AAPL | ▲ long | +2.28 | +0.97% | -1.28% | Comparison: The entry chased a +6% news-driven spike (White House investment pledge), betting on overnight continuation — but the trade barely eked out +0.23% (+$2.28) while suffering a -1.28% adverse excursion, worse than the peak gain of +0.97%. The rationale ("overnight drift") was effectively momentum-chasing into an already-priced-in headline, and the risk/reward realized was poor. Improvement: Add a filter to the entry rule: skip overnight drift entries when the underlying has already moved more than ~3% intraday on news, or require a pullback of at least 1% from the session high before buying — large pre-close surges tend to mean the drift edge is already consumed. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:57:40 | AAPL | ▲ long | +2.13 | +0.96% | -1.29% | Rationale vs. outcome: The entry thesis was a positive regulatory catalyst driving overnight drift, but the trade delivered a barely-positive +0.21% while suffering -1.29% adverse excursion — worse than the final gain — meaning the "cleared hurdle" news was largely priced in by the close and the position was basically noise. The catalyst was real but stale; regulatory approvals hit wires intraday and the edge decays fast. Improvement: Add a freshness/pricing-in filter to the entry rule — only take the overnight drift trade if the news broke within N hours of close and the stock hasn't already moved more than ~1% on the session; alternatively, require the max-favorable-excursion history for this setup to exceed max-adverse before sizing up, since a -1.29% MAE against a +0.21% realized gain is a poor risk-reward signature to keep repeating. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:57:48 | MU | ▼ short | +0.40 | +5.75% | -5.67% | Entry vs. outcome: The thesis was a continuation of a 12% two-day slide driven by news-flow and ETF flows, but the trade essentially broke even (+0.40 on a ~$854 stock, ~0.05%) — the sell-off had already exhausted itself by entry, and the ±5.7% intraday swings show you were riding pure noise, not drift. Improvement: Add a filter that blocks "overnight drift" entries after a move exceeding, say, 8-10% in the prior two sessions — mean-reversion risk dominates continuation at that point. Alternatively, require the unrealized-loss threshold to trigger an exit: tolerating -5.67% adverse excursion to capture 0.05% is a terrible risk/reward profile that only avoided a loss by luck. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:57:58 | TSM | ▲ long | -23.12 | +0.49% | -5.62% | Entry vs. outcome: The entry assumed strong Q3 guidance would produce positive overnight drift, but the news was almost certainly priced in by the close — the trade never got more than +0.49% ahead while drawing down -5.62%, a classic sell-the-news pattern where buying strength at the close after a public catalyst captures no edge. Improvement: Require confirmation before entry — only take the overnight drift trade if the after-hours print is positive (e.g., +0.3% or better vs. close) within 30 minutes of the announcement; buying the close blind on "good news" is just paying the top tick. Alternatively, add a hard exit at -2% unrealized so a thesis this thin can't ride to -5.6% before settling the loss. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:58:06 | ASML | ▲ long | -34.96 | +0.33% | -4.45% | Entry vs. outcome: The thesis was that strong guidance news would produce positive overnight drift, but the trade never got traction (max +0.33%) and bled to -1.96%, suggesting the good news was already priced in by the close — a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" fade on a headline that hit intraday. Improvement: Add a filter requiring the entry only if the stock's same-day move on the news is below some threshold (e.g., +2%); if the guidance pop already happened before the close, skip the trade or flip to a fade. Alternatively, add a hard stop at -1.5% intraday, since the -4.45% max drawdown shows the strategy has no exit discipline between entry and next close. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:58:20 | META | ▼ short | +16.77 | +5.58% | -0.48% | Comparison: The entry thesis—continued downside drift after META's negative capex guidance and 3.5% sell-off—played out cleanly, with the short capturing another -2.5% overnight and minimal adverse excursion (-0.48%). However, the trade left significant money on the table: max unrealized gain was +5.58% but the mechanical next-close exit captured less than half of it. Improvement: Codify the entry trigger quantitatively instead of relying on a narrative label: e.g., only take the "overnight drift" short when the day-of move exceeds -3% and the news is cost/guidance-related (not earnings beats/misses), since this setup showed strong follow-through. Separately, consider adding a profit-take threshold (e.g., exit if unrealized gain exceeds +4% intraday) rather than blindly holding to next close—this trade's +5.58%/-0.48% excursion profile suggests the fixed-exit rule is the weakest link, not the entry. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:58:29 | NVDA | ▲ long | -13.36 | +0.32% | -4.22% | The entry leaned on a speculative "reportedly preparing" headline that was likely already priced in by the close, and the trade never got meaningfully green (max +0.32%) while drawing down -4.22% — the rationale assumed overnight drift would carry unconfirmed regulatory news, and it didn't. Buying momentum-less headline news at the close is effectively paying the top tick of the day's sentiment. Improvement: Require confirmation before entry — e.g., only take the overnight-drift trade if the stock closed up on above-average volume that day (news actually moving price), or gate on headline strength by excluding "reportedly/preparing/as early as" hedged language from qualifying catalysts. Alternatively, add a hard intraday stop (~-2%) since the -4.22% excursion shows the exit-at-next-close rule lets losers run far beyond the thesis's edge. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:58:37 | MU | ▲ long | -0.64 | +5.63% | -5.79% | The entry thesis leaned on stale, already-public bullish news (analyst praise post-earnings), which was almost certainly priced in by the close — the flat -0.64 outcome confirms there was no residual overnight drift edge. Meanwhile the position swung ±5.7% intraday, meaning you took substantial risk for essentially zero expected return. Concrete fix: require the catalyst to be published after the prior close (or within N hours of entry) rather than trading on recycled analyst commentary, and/or add a bracket (e.g., take-profit at +3%) since the trade actually saw +5.6% unrealized that was given back by holding rigidly to next-close exit. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:58:48 | AAPL | ▼ short | -1.95 | +1.26% | -1.00% | The entry thesis (bearish supply-cut headline → overnight drift lower) didn't hold to the exit: the stock finished slightly higher and you ate a small loss, even though the trade was up +1.26% at some point intra-hold — meaning the signal had a kernel of truth but the fixed next-close exit gave it all back. That's the classic flaw of headline-driven shorts: the news impact decays fast and reverses once priced in. Concrete fix: replace the rigid "exit next close" rule with a take-profit around +1% (roughly your observed max favorable excursion) or exit at next open, since holding a stale news short through a full session is where the edge died. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:58:57 | GOOGL | ▲ long | -13.94 | +5.01% | -3.42% | The entry leaned on a soft catalyst—an analyst reiteration (not an upgrade) ahead of earnings—which is weak fuel for a one-day overnight hold, and the trade gave back a +5% unrealized gain to close down -1.97%. The rationale conflated genuinely new information with pre-earnings hype; reiterations and estimate bumps are largely priced in by the close. Concrete fix: require a rating change (upgrade/initiation) or a hard catalyst for overnight entries, and add a trailing take-profit rule (e.g., exit intraday if unrealized gain exceeds +3%) since holding blindly to next close threw away the entire favorable excursion. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:59:07 | AAPL | ▼ short | -2.82 | +1.16% | -0.60% | The entry treated a single sensational headline as a fresh bearish catalyst, but the market largely shrugged — and worse, the trade actually saw +1.16% of unrealized gain that the strategy gave back entirely, exiting at a -0.28% loss. The failure here is less the thesis than the exit discipline paired with a weak entry filter: "FRESH" alone is too low a bar for a headline this extreme, which should require corroboration from a second source or a confirming price/volume move before shorting. Concrete fix: add a take-profit or trailing stop that locks in gains once unrealized P&L exceeds ~0.75–1%, since news-driven moves like this often mean-revert within the holding window. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:59:16 | AAPL | ▲ long | +5.13 | +0.81% | -0.92% | Retrospective: The entry rationale was a market-cap ranking headline — pure narrative with zero forward-looking edge, and the fact that AAPL's move came partly from Nvidia falling makes it even weaker as a bullish signal. The trade eked out +0.51% but drawdown (-0.92%) exceeded the peak gain (+0.81%), so this was closer to noise than thesis confirmation; you got paid by luck, not by the rule. Improvement: Tighten the FRESH verdict to require news with a causal, company-specific catalyst (earnings, guidance, product, regulatory) rather than relative-ranking or "milestone" headlines, which are lagging indicators of moves already priced in. Alternatively, add a filter rejecting entries where the headline's driver is another stock's decline rather than the target's own strength. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:59:26 | AAPL | ▼ short | -12.78 | +0.09% | -1.61% | Entry vs. outcome: The thesis treated a single supply-chain rumor (Baltra chip delay) as a repricing event for a mega-cap, but the market shrugged — the trade was almost never in profit (max favorable +0.09%) and drifted straight against you to -1.61% before exit. That pattern says the news was already priced in or simply immaterial to AAPL's valuation, not that timing was unlucky. Improvement: Raise the bar for a REPRICING verdict on mega-caps: require either quantifiable earnings/guidance impact or a confirming price reaction (e.g., stock already down >1% on the news with elevated volume) before shorting. Rumor-grade product-delay stories on companies AAPL's size should default to NO_TRADE. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:59:38 | NVDA | ▼ short | +6.36 | +1.66% | -0.71% | Retro: The entry leaned on cross-asset sympathy (TSMC selling off despite strong fundamentals) rather than any NVDA-specific signal, and it basically worked by luck — a +0.78% scratch win that captured less than half the +1.66% max favorable excursion before giving most of it back. Calling this "REPRICING" is generous; strong earnings plus a sentiment-driven dip is more often a fade setup than a trend, so the verdict fired on ambiguous evidence. Improvement: Require peer-driven bearish REPRICING verdicts to be confirmed by the traded ticker itself — e.g., NVDA must break below its prior session low or gap down >1% before entry — otherwise downgrade to no-trade. Separately, add a trailing-stop or partial-take rule at ~1% unrealized, since letting +1.66% decay to +0.78% halved the payoff on a correct call. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:59:47 | AAPL | ▲ long | +10.56 | +1.37% | -0.32% | Rationale vs. outcome: The thesis is weak — TSMC's 1.4nm node hitting risk production in 2027 is a second-order, multi-year-out positive for a supplier, not a near-term repricing catalyst for AAPL. The +$10.56 gain (≈+1.1%) with a max excursion of only +1.37%/-0.32% looks like ordinary daily drift, so this was a win on noise, not thesis confirmation. Improvement: Tighten the REPRICING verdict to require the catalyst to (a) directly concern the traded ticker (here, trade TSM, not AAPL) and (b) have an impact horizon inside your holding period — news about 2027 production schedules should be downgraded to NO_TRADE or a "monitor" bucket rather than triggering an entry. |
| Fri Jul-17 20:59:55 | NVDA | ▲ long | -4.88 | +0.91% | -1.46% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale is weak second-order inference — a TSMC 1.4nm roadmap update with 2027 risk production is neither new information nor NVDA-specific, so calling it a "REPRICING" catalyst was a stretch, and the market agreed: price barely moved (+0.91%/-1.46% range) before drifting to a small loss. Improvement: Tighten the REPRICING verdict to require the news be (a) directly about the traded ticker or a quantifiable supplier/customer with near-term revenue impact, and (b) genuinely incremental (surprise vs. consensus), not a reiteration of an existing multi-year roadmap. A simple filter — "would this headline move the stock >1% on its own?" — would have rejected this trade. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:00:06 | AAPL | ▼ short | -9.78 | +0.41% | -1.28% | Rationale vs. outcome: The entry treated a macro/regional headline (India Q2 shipments, memory cost inflation) as an AAPL-specific repricing event, but India is a single-digit percentage of Apple's revenue and component shortages hit Android OEMs harder — so the stock never confirmed the thesis, spending most of the trade underwater (-1.28% max adverse vs. only +0.41% favorable) before closing at a loss. Improvement: Tighten the REPRICING verdict to require the catalyst to name the ticker directly or demonstrably touch a material revenue segment (e.g., >10% of sales); indirect supply-chain or regional-market news should downgrade to WATCH/no-trade rather than trigger a directional entry. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:00:16 | NVDA | ▼ short | +4.84 | +1.46% | -0.91% | Comparison: The entry rationale was momentum-chasing on already-realized news — NVDA had already declined sharply when the trade fired, so the "repricing" was mostly priced in. The outcome confirms this: +0.59% captured on a trade that never moved more than +1.46% in your favor, meaning the thesis had almost no edge left at entry. A +$4.84 scalp on a "sharp sector-wide repricing" verdict is a rationale/outcome mismatch — either the verdict was overstated or the entry was too late. Improvement: Add a staleness/extension filter to the REPRICING verdict: skip entry if the instrument has already moved more than ~1.5–2% in the signal direction over the prior session, or require the entry within N hours of the catalyst. Alternatively, demote late-arriving REPRICING signals to a lower-conviction tier with reduced size, since you're selling into a move that's largely done. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:00:24 | AMD | ▼ short | -19.88 | +1.47% | -3.17% | The entry chased an already-realized selloff — "declined sharply" means the repricing had largely happened by entry, so shorting AMD at 490 was momentum-following into a bounce, and the trade never got more than +1.47% before reversing to -3.17% and stopping out at a loss. The rationale also leaned on sector-wide sentiment (NVDA, MU, TSMC) rather than anything AMD-specific, making the direction call weak. Concrete fix: require the REPRICING verdict to trigger only if the catalyst is fresh (e.g., within the last session) AND the stock hasn't already moved more than ~2% in the verdict's direction — otherwise downgrade to no-trade or demand a pullback entry. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:00:36 | AAPL | ▲ long | +3.51 | +0.71% | -0.97% | The rationale claimed a REPRICING event, but the price action never validated it — a +0.35% exit with a worse max drawdown (-0.97%) than max gain (+0.71%) means the "record earnings" were almost certainly already priced in, and you bought into a fully-digested headline. A genuine repricing should show immediate directional follow-through; this trade showed chop. Concrete fix: gate the REPRICING verdict on a confirmation filter — e.g., require the stock to be gapping/trading at least +1.5–2% (or beyond its implied earnings move) in the thesis direction before entry, otherwise downgrade the verdict to PRICED-IN and skip the trade. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:00:45 | QCOM | ▼ short | -21.05 | +1.28% | -2.57% | Entry vs. outcome: The short thesis was sector-wide sentiment contagion (AI capex/margin fears hitting AMD/NVDA/TSMC), not anything QCOM-specific — and QCOM promptly rallied +2.5% against the position, with max favorable excursion of only +1.28%. Shorting a name on second-order sympathy weakness is a weak REPRICING signal; the actual repricing risk was in the AI-levered names, and QCOM's handset/diversified exposure made it a poor proxy. Concrete improvement: Require the REPRICING verdict to cite a catalyst directly tied to the traded ticker (earnings, guidance, or explicit analyst action on QCOM itself), or downgrade pure sector-sympathy setups to a smaller size / no-trade threshold. Alternatively, add a rule: if max favorable excursion never exceeds +1.5% within the first session, cut the position rather than riding it to -2.5%. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:00:56 | AAPL | ▲ long | +3.90 | +0.74% | -0.94% | The entry rationale is weak: "Apple overtook Nvidia in market cap" is a backward-looking milestone that describes price action already in the books, not new information that should cause a repricing — and the outcome confirmed it, with the trade chopping in a ±1% band and scratching out +0.39%, indistinguishable from noise. The verdict REPRICING was mislabeled; nothing was being repriced, the market had already done the pricing. Concrete fix: exclude ranking/milestone headlines (market-cap crossovers, index inclusion rumors, "biggest ever" stats) from the REPRICING category entirely, and require the catalyst to contain forward-looking information (earnings, guidance, product, regulatory) with an expected move exceeding, say, 1.5x recent daily ATR before a trade is permitted. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:01:06 | AAPL | ▼ short | -3.24 | +1.02% | -0.66% | The entry leaned on a broad "AI competition fears" macro headline with no AAPL-specific catalyst, and the outcome was essentially noise — a -3.24 USD scratch loss on a thesis that never really got tested. Notably, the trade was up +1.02% at its best and still exited red, meaning the exit logic gave back the entire favorable move. Concrete fix: either require the FRESH verdict to cite a ticker-specific catalyst (not sector sentiment) before shorting a single name, or add a take-profit/trailing-stop rule (e.g., lock in at +0.75% unrealized) so sentiment-driven trades harvest the mean-reversion move they're actually capturing. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:01:16 | AMZN | ▲ long | -5.12 | +0.20% | -0.85% | Mismatch: The rationale is fundamentally an NVDA story (valuation compression, sector rotation), with AMZN only implied as a second-order beneficiary via its in-house chip effort — yet the trade bought AMZN on a FRESH verdict as if it were the direct subject. The outcome confirmed there was no real catalyst for AMZN: the position never got more than +0.20% of traction and bled to -0.51%. Improvement: Add an entry rule requiring the traded ticker to be the primary subject of the analyst thesis, not an inferred beneficiary; if the signal is derivative (e.g., "X's weakness helps Y"), downgrade the verdict from FRESH to something requiring secondary confirmation (e.g., ticker-specific news or momentum) before entry. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:01:26 | MU | ▲ long | +3.32 | +5.89% | -0.36% | Rationale-to-ticker mismatch: The thesis is entirely about Nvidia's valuation compression, yet the trade bought MU — the "sector rotation toward memory" clause is doing all the work, and that's a stretch, not a REPRICING signal on MU itself. The trade happened to work (+3.32), but it captured only ~0.4% of a move that reached +5.89% unrealized, so the exit gave back nearly all the edge; the win validates luck, not the rule. Concrete fix: Require the REPRICING verdict to reference the traded ticker directly (reject entries where the analyst subject ≠ instrument), and add a trailing-stop or scale-out rule (e.g., trail at 40% of max favorable excursion) so a +5.9% peak doesn't decay into a +0.4% exit. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:01:38 | AAPL | ▼ short | -0.76 | +1.23% | -0.45% | The rationale is shaky on its face: Apple being the plaintiff in a trade-secrets suit is at best neutral for AAPL — the "regulatory breakdown" framing conflated a partnership rupture with direct legal/financial risk to Apple, and the market agreed, barely moving (-0.11% against the position). Worse, the trade was up +1.23% unrealized and still exited at a loss, meaning even a mediocre thesis wasn't harvested. Concrete fix: require the traded ticker to be the defendant or directly exposed party before assigning a directional verdict on litigation news (plaintiff status should downgrade FRESH to no-trade or neutral); secondarily, add a take-profit rule (e.g., exit at +1% MFE on low-conviction verdicts) so marginal signals don't round-trip into losses. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:01:50 | AAPL | ▼ short | -0.04 | +1.34% | -0.34% | Retro note: The entry logic treated a speculative regulatory headline (lawmakers urging action, not action taken) as FRESH bearish catalyst, but the market shrugged — the trade closed flat (-$0.04) despite the thesis. Notably, the position was up +1.34% unrealized at its best, so the real failure was exit management, not direction: the edge existed briefly and was given back entirely. Improvement: Either (a) tighten the entry rule to require enacted or imminent regulatory action rather than legislative jawboning (downgrade "urging/proposing" headlines to STALE or low-conviction), or (b) if soft-catalyst trades stay in scope, add a take-profit or trailing stop around +1% since these headline fades decay fast and won't trend. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:02:04 | MU | ▲ long | +4.03 | +6.09% | -0.16% | The entry thesis was sound and the timing was excellent — max drawdown was only -0.16% while the position ran to +6.09% unrealized — but you banked just +0.47%, capturing under a tenth of the available move. The problem isn't the REPRICING verdict; it's that regulatory repricing catalysts (a structural demand shift toward MU) play out over days/weeks, and this trade was managed like a scalp. Concrete fix: when the verdict is REPRICING (vs. a transient headline), attach a minimum hold horizon or a trailing stop instead of a fixed take-profit, so the exit logic matches the multi-day nature of the catalyst the entry rule is keying on. (Also flag for the retro: MU entry price of $850 doesn't match reality — verify the data feed before trusting these fills.) |
| Fri Jul-17 21:02:13 | AAPL | ▲ long | -0.72 | +0.23% | -1.45% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale was thin — "Apple gained share" buried inside a headline that's net-negative for the sector (shipments down 11%, supply constraints from chip shortages) got scored FRESH/bullish, and the trade predictably went nowhere, chopping to -1.45% before exiting for a small loss. The signal was a mixed/second-order inference, not a clean bullish catalyst, and the price action confirmed there was no real edge. Improvement: Require the bullish claim to be the primary subject of the news, not a subordinate clause — e.g., downgrade verdict to NEUTRAL/no-trade when the headline's main event (industry shipment decline, supply shortage) is directionally negative for the ticker's sector, even if the company is relatively outperforming. Relative winners in a shrinking market are a hold signal, not a buy signal. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:02:23 | MU | ▲ long | +0.06 | +5.67% | -0.34% | The thesis was directionally right — memory shortages from AI demand are a clean bullish repricing signal for MU, and the trade ran to +5.67% unrealized — but the exit gave back essentially all of it for a meaningless +$0.06, so the entry logic isn't the problem, the trade management is. That said, the news itself (Q2 shipment data with shortages "driven by AI demand") is arguably already-priced macro context rather than fresh MU-specific information, so the REPRICING verdict threshold should require a company-specific or surprise element, not sector-wide trends everyone has known for quarters. Concrete fix: pair the REPRICING verdict with a mandatory profit target or trailing stop (e.g., lock in gains once unrealized exceeds +3%), because a signal that captures a 5.7% move and books 0.007% is a process failure, not a signal failure. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:02:32 | AMD | ▲ long | +12.46 | +2.54% | -0.13% | The entry leaned on a REPRICING verdict for what was actually pre-event speculation — a Jefferies preview of possible announcements, not a confirmed catalyst — yet the trade worked (+1.26%, max drawdown only -0.13%), so the outcome flatters a shaky rationale. That's closer to "anticipation/rumor" than "repricing," and treating analyst previews as repricing events will eventually get you run over when the event disappoints. Concrete fix: require REPRICING verdicts to cite a confirmed announcement or filing; route analyst-anticipated catalysts to a separate "event speculation" bucket with smaller size or a rule to exit before the event itself. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:02:42 | NVDA | ▼ short | +4.56 | +1.44% | -0.93% | Entry vs. outcome: The entry was a second-order bet — shorting NVDA on anticipated AMD announcements is speculation about a competitor's unconfirmed catalyst, and the outcome (+0.56%, with excursions of +1.44%/-0.93% roughly symmetric around zero) looks like noise rather than a genuine repricing. The trade "worked" but the P&L is indistinguishable from a coin flip; nothing in the price path validates the thesis. Improvement: Tighten the REPRICING verdict to require the catalyst be (a) about the traded ticker directly, or (b) a confirmed event, not analyst anticipation of disclosures. Alternatively, downgrade cross-ticker/pre-event speculation to a lower-conviction verdict with reduced size or no trade — "Jefferies anticipates AMD might announce" should never clear the bar for shorting NVDA. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:02:54 | ASML | ▲ long | -11.35 | +1.58% | -1.01% | Retro note: The REPRICING call was directionally right — the raised guidance was genuinely bullish and the trade ran +1.58% before reversing — but the entry likely came after the news was already priced in, so you bought the pop and rode it back down to a -0.64% loss. The rationale conflated "good news" with "unpriced good news"; a €2B guidance raise on ASML gets absorbed in minutes, not days. Concrete fix: Gate REPRICING entries on how much the stock has already moved since the announcement — e.g., skip the trade if price is already up >1.5% from pre-news levels. Alternatively (or additionally), given MFE of +1.58%, add a take-profit or trailing stop around +1% since these post-earnings drifts on mega-caps are clearly mean-reverting at your holding horizon. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:03:02 | AMZN | ▲ long | -3.16 | +0.34% | -0.71% | Comparison: The entry treated a multi-company partnership headline as an AMZN-specific bullish catalyst, but the news named five vendors — Amazon's share of the upside was diluted and largely priced in, and the trade never got more than +0.34% before drifting to a -0.32% loss. The "FRESH" verdict rewarded recency, not specificity or materiality to the ticker actually bought. Improvement: Add a specificity filter to the entry rule: only trade a ticker if it's the primary subject of the catalyst (or the sole named counterparty), not one of several beneficiaries — e.g., require the company to appear in the headline's first clause or be the only vendor mentioned. Alternatively, downgrade multi-beneficiary partnership news from FRESH to WATCH unless dollar figures attributable to the specific ticker are disclosed. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:03:14 | AVGO | ▲ long | +3.32 | +1.70% | -0.19% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale treated a broad, multi-company partnership headline (SpaceX, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Broadcom all named) as a bullish repricing catalyst for AVGO specifically — but news that diffuse is rarely a repricing event for any single ticker, and the outcome confirms it: a near-flat +0.45% grind with almost no downside because there was almost no signal either way. You also let a +1.70% peak decay to +0.45%, so even the modest edge was mostly given back. Improvement: Tighten the REPRICING verdict to require the catalyst be company-specific and quantifiable (e.g., a disclosed order size, capacity figure, or revenue guidance tied to the traded ticker); if the headline names 4+ companies, downgrade to NOISE or require confirmation before entry. Alternatively, if you keep loose entries, add a trailing take-profit so a +1.7% peak doesn't round-trip to nothing. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:03:25 | AAPL | ▲ long | +2.25 | +0.37% | -1.22% | Entry vs. outcome: The "FRESH" verdict was generous — Apple overtaking Nvidia in market cap is a consequence of a move already priced in, not a forward-looking catalyst, and the trade behaved accordingly: max drawdown (-1.22%) was over 3x the max favorable excursion (+0.37%), and the +2.25 USD gain is basically noise. You bought a lagging milestone headline and got lucky closing slightly green. Concrete improvement: Reclassify milestone/ranking headlines (market-cap crossings, index reshuffles, "biggest ever" stats) as STALE by default, requiring a company-specific forward catalyst (earnings beat, guidance, product news) to earn FRESH. Alternatively, add a post-trade audit rule: if adverse excursion exceeds favorable excursion by >2x, flag the entry category for demotion in the verdict thresholds. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:03:35 | TSM | ▲ long | -11.08 | +0.13% | -2.37% | The entry chased headline good news that the market had almost certainly priced in already — a record quarter and capex hike from TSMC is consensus-confirming, not a repricing catalyst — and the trade never worked, with max favorable excursion of just +0.13% against -2.37% adverse before a -1.4% loss. That MFE/MAE profile says the entry was late, buying strength after the news pop rather than an actual mispricing. Concrete fix: require the REPRICING verdict to include a check that the post-news move is small relative to the surprise (e.g., skip the trade if the stock already gapped/ran >X% on the announcement), or only enter bullish repricing trades on a pullback toward the pre-news level rather than at the highs. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:03:45 | ASML | ▲ long | -33.41 | +0.29% | -2.27% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale was second-order sympathy logic — TSMC's strong report and capex hike were read as a bullish repricing for ASML — but the market never validated it: max favorable excursion was a trivial +0.29% while drawdown hit -2.27%, ending in a -1.87% loss. This is a classic case of buying a name on news that likely was already priced in (or partially priced) by the time the trade triggered, since TSMC capex expectations are well-telegraphed and ASML often "sells the news" on supplier sympathy plays. Concrete fix: Tighten the REPRICING verdict to require the traded ticker itself to confirm — e.g., only enter if ASML gaps/moves +1% or more in the direction of the thesis within the first hour after the catalyst; a sympathy thesis with zero price confirmation in the actual instrument should downgrade to NO-TRADE or a smaller size tier. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:03:57 | AMD | ▲ long | +0.68 | +1.28% | -1.36% | Retrospective: The entry treated a cluster of analyst PT hikes as a "repricing" catalyst, but analyst upgrades are lagging indicators that are typically priced in within minutes — the outcome (+0.14%, with symmetric ±1.3% excursions) shows the trade was pure noise with no directional edge. The rationale confused news volume with new information. Improvement: Downgrade "analyst price target raises" so they can't trigger a REPRICING verdict alone; require confirmation such as a same-day price/volume breakout or an accompanying fundamental catalyst (guidance raise, contract win). Alternatively, add a minimum expected-move threshold to entries — if the thesis can't plausibly justify >2% move, skip it, because a strategy whose best case was +1.28% is paying full trading risk for coin-flip payoffs. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:04:09 | AAPL | ▼ short | -8.46 | +0.65% | -0.95% | Entry vs. outcome: The entry shorted AAPL on a second-order narrative (a Chinese model beating coding benchmarks → generic US tech fear), but AAPL isn't a pure AI/semiconductor play, so the "REPRICING" verdict was really sentiment contagion, not a repricing of Apple's fundamentals. The trade never got real traction (+0.65% max) and reverted to a -0.85% loss, which is exactly what you'd expect when the catalyst doesn't map to the ticker. Improvement: Add a direct-exposure filter to the REPRICING verdict — the catalyst must materially hit the traded name's revenue or competitive position (e.g., short NVDA/semis on this headline, not AAPL), or downgrade sector-adjacent names to a weaker verdict that requires confirming price action (e.g., gap-down plus continued weakness) before entry. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:04:18 | NVDA | ▼ short | +5.56 | +1.58% | -0.79% | Retro note: The bearish thesis (custom silicon eroding NVDA demand) was directionally right but barely — a +0.27% move netting $5.56 is noise, not a repricing, and the trade spent time -0.79% underwater despite a max favorable excursion of +1.58%, so the exit also left over half the move on the table. Custom-chip headlines about Meta/Broadcom have been recycled for two years and rarely reprice NVDA meaningfully in one session, so the REPRICING verdict was overconfident for this catalyst class. Improvement: Require a materiality gate before assigning REPRICING — e.g., the news must name a quantified order shift, customer loss, or revenue figure directly tied to the traded ticker; second-order "competitor progress" stories should cap out at a weaker verdict (e.g., DRIFT) with smaller size or no trade. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:04:28 | SMCI | ▲ long | 0.00 | +3.35% | -0.16% | Entry vs. outcome: The REPRICING verdict was arguably too strong for a partnership with a 2027 completion date — that's a long-dated catalyst with no near-term earnings impact, so the pop was always likely to fade. The trade actually validated the direction briefly (+3.35% unrealized) but the exit logic captured none of it, round-tripping to breakeven. Improvement: Either (a) downgrade multi-year-horizon partnership announcements from REPRICING to a weaker verdict unless there's a quantified revenue/backlog figure attached, or (b) if you keep the entry, add a mechanical partial take-profit or trailing stop (e.g., bank half at +2.5%) since news-pop trades like this predictably mean-revert — leaving +3.35% MFE on the table to exit flat is an exit-rule failure as much as an entry-rule one. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:04:38 | AVGO | ▲ long | +2.62 | +1.57% | -0.32% | Retro note: The entry leaned on a broad, sector-level analyst opinion ("buy the dip in semis") with no AVGO-specific catalyst, and the outcome reflects that: a noise-level +0.35% gain that peaked at +1.57% unrealized before giving most of it back. The thesis wasn't wrong, but "REPRICING" is doing a lot of work here for what is really a generic sentiment call. Concrete fix: require the REPRICING verdict to cite a ticker-specific catalyst (estimate revision, price target change on the actual name) rather than sector commentary — or, if sector calls stay eligible, pair them with a mechanical take-profit (e.g., exit at +1% or trail after +1.5%) so favorable excursions like this one actually get banked. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:04:48 | AMD | ▲ long | +0.80 | +1.35% | -1.30% | Retro note: The entry leaned on a generic sector-level analyst call ("buy the dip in semis") with no AMD-specific catalyst, and the outcome shows it: the position chopped symmetrically (+1.35%/-1.30%) and exited with +0.16% — pure noise, not a repricing. A REPRICING verdict implies a mispricing being corrected, but nothing here identified what was mispriced about AMD versus the whole sector. Concrete fix: require REPRICING verdicts to cite a ticker-specific catalyst (earnings, guidance, product news) rather than sector commentary, or downgrade broad analyst dip-buying calls to a weaker verdict tier that doesn't trigger single-name entries. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:04:57 | NVDA | ▲ long | -4.04 | +1.00% | -1.37% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale treated a single deal announcement (27,500 GPUs) as a "REPRICING" event, but for a company of NVDA's scale that order is a rounding error — and the price action confirmed it: the stock never moved more than ±1.4% while open, which is noise, not repricing. The thesis wasn't wrong so much as the event was immaterial; there was nothing to reprice. Improvement: Add a materiality gate to the REPRICING verdict — e.g., estimated deal value must exceed ~2-5% of trailing annual revenue (or expected EPS impact >1%) before a headline qualifies. Alternatively, require price confirmation (e.g., +1.5% move on elevated volume within the first hour) before entry, so you're not buying flat tape on already-digested news. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:05:07 | AAPL | ▼ short | -10.68 | +0.37% | -1.23% | Entry vs. outcome: The entry shorted AAPL on a semiconductor-index bear market — a second-order read, since AAPL isn't a SOX component and the catalyst never mentioned Apple. The trade behaved accordingly: it barely went favorable (+0.37% max) and drifted against you to a -1.23% drawdown before exiting for a loss, i.e., the catalyst simply didn't transmit to the traded ticker. Improvement: Tighten the REPRICING verdict to require the catalyst to name the traded ticker or an index/sector it directly belongs to; sympathy shorts on adjacent sectors should be downgraded to no-trade or require confirmation (e.g., the target already down >1% on the session) before entry. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:05:18 | AAPL | ▲ long | +10.74 | +1.24% | -0.36% | The entry logic worked but barely mattered: a sell-side upgrade with a $366 target implied ~11% upside, yet the trade captured just +1.1% before exiting, so the "REPRICING" verdict was directionally right but the exit gave away most of the thesis. The tiny adverse excursion (-0.36%) suggests the entry timing was fine — the problem is the verdict triggers a trade whose holding logic doesn't match the multi-week nature of an analyst-target repricing. Concrete fix: require the price target to imply ≥8-10% upside before classifying as REPRICING (this one passed), but pair that verdict with a minimum hold period or a trailing stop keyed to the target gap, rather than exiting on the first modest pop. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:05:29 | TSM | ▲ long | -11.66 | +0.08% | -2.42% | Retrospective: The REPRICING verdict assumed the record earnings and capex news wasn't yet in the price, but the trade never got more than +0.08% in your favor — the market had already fully priced the headline and you bought the post-news top, then bled to -2.42% before exiting for a loss. Blunt take: "record profits" headlines on mega-cap names like TSM are absorbed within minutes, so this was momentum-chasing dressed up as a repricing thesis. Improvement: Add a filter to the REPRICING verdict requiring evidence the news is not yet reflected — e.g., only trigger if the stock has moved less than ~1.5% from the pre-announcement price, or delay entry until a pullback of at least 1% from the post-news high instead of buying at the headline print. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:05:38 | AVGO | ▲ long | -0.30 | +1.18% | -0.70% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale was second-order at best — TSMC's CoWoS expansion is a supply-chain tailwind for AVGO, but it's not AVGO-specific news, and the market treated it that way: the stock chopped sideways (+1.18%/-0.70% range) and the trade died as a scratch (-$0.30). A "FRESH" verdict on a supplier's capex announcement is generous; this was already-priced sector color, not a fresh catalyst for the traded ticker. Improvement: Tighten the verdict rule to require the catalyst to name the traded ticker directly (or a company where it's >20% of revenue exposure); demote second-order/supply-chain reads to STALE or require confirmation (e.g., relative-strength vs. SMH in the first 30 min) before entry. Alternatively, since MFE hit +1.18%, add a take-profit at ~+1% for low-conviction second-order entries instead of letting them round-trip to flat. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:05:49 | AMZN | ▼ short | +0.52 | +0.49% | -0.57% | Rationale vs. outcome: The entry treated a Zoox recall as bearish for AMZN, but Zoox is an immaterial pre-revenue subsidiary — the thesis had no plausible transmission to Amazon's earnings, and the ~+0.05% P&L is pure noise (adverse excursion of -0.57% actually exceeded the favorable +0.49%, so the trade was underwater more than it worked). Improvement: Add a materiality gate to the FRESH verdict: subsidiary/segment news should only trigger an entry if the affected unit contributes some minimum share of parent revenue or profit (e.g., ≥5%), otherwise downgrade to NO-TRADE. As-is, the rule fires on headline sentiment rather than financial relevance, and this trade only avoided being a loser by luck of exit timing. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:05:58 | TSLA | ▼ short | +4.30 | +0.84% | -0.40% | Blunt take: The entry logic was a stretch — a Zoox fleet recall is an Amazon/Zoox problem, not a TSLA-specific catalyst, and the +$4.30 outcome (with max excursion under 1% either way) confirms the market treated it as noise, not a repricing event. The trade "won" by luck, not thesis; nothing in the price action validated a bearish repricing of Tesla. Concrete improvement: Require the REPRICING verdict to only fire when the news names the traded ticker directly or a quantifiable read-through exists (e.g., shared supplier, same regulatory action pending against the target company). Cross-company "sector sympathy" catalysts should be downgraded to a weaker verdict tier (e.g., WATCH) that requires confirming price/volume action before entry. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:06:06 | AAPL | ▲ long | +9.00 | +1.09% | -0.52% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale was a broad narrative ("AI monetization shift," market-cap milestone) — that's a lagging, already-priced-in story, not a repricing catalyst, and the trade behaved accordingly: it chopped in a ±1% band and exited for a trivial +0.9% (+$9), essentially noise rather than confirmation of the thesis. Improvement: Tighten the REPRICING verdict to require a specific, dated catalyst (earnings, guidance change, product event) rather than milestone/headline narratives; alternatively, add a minimum expected-move threshold (e.g., only take REPRICING trades where the thesis implies ≥3% move) so you're not deploying capital on trades whose realized range was never going to exceed slippage-level gains. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:06:16 | TSM | ▼ short | +6.28 | +1.81% | -0.60% | Entry vs. outcome: The bearish call was based on broad sector sentiment ("AI valuation concerns") rather than anything TSM-specific, and the trade essentially validated that vagueness — it captured only +0.78% of a move that reached +1.81% unrealized, meaning you gave back more than half the edge before exit. The "REPRICING" verdict fired on generic macro headlines, which produces low-conviction trades with tight profit windows. Improvement: Require the REPRICING verdict to cite a ticker-specific catalyst (earnings, guidance, order data) rather than sector-wide sentiment; alternatively, if you keep sentiment-driven entries, pair them with a mechanical trailing stop or partial take-profit around +1.5% since these headline-driven moves demonstrably mean-revert fast. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:06:24 | AMZN | ▼ short | +1.08 | +0.57% | -0.48% | Comparison: The entry thesis was a macro/credit-market narrative (softening demand for AI debt) that's several steps removed from AMZN's equity price, and the outcome reflects that: the stock chopped in a ±0.5% range and the trade closed essentially flat (+$1.08 on ~$992 notional, ~0.1%). The "FRESH" verdict fired on a story with no clear catalyst or transmission mechanism to near-term price action, so you got noise, not edge. Improvement: Tighten the verdict threshold so second-order macro stories (sector-wide debt demand, peer issuance trends) don't qualify as FRESH for a single-name trade — require the headline to name the ticker as the primary subject with a quantifiable, company-specific event (guidance, downgrade, filing). Alternatively, route diffuse sector narratives to a basket/ETF trade instead of picking one mega-cap where the signal is diluted. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:06:36 | AAPL | ▲ long | +9.96 | +1.19% | -0.42% | The entry treated a vague "reportedly seeking to acquire" rumor as a REPRICING event, but rumor-stage M&A chatter rarely reprices a mega-cap like Apple materially — and the outcome confirms it: a +1.0% drift that barely exceeded the +1.19% max favorable excursion, i.e., noise-level movement, not a repricing. The trade won, but for reasons indistinguishable from random AAPL beta, so don't let the small gain validate the rule. Concrete fix: require confirmed/announced deals (or named targets with deal terms) for a REPRICING verdict; downgrade unsourced "seeking/considering" headlines to WATCH or require a materiality screen (estimated deal size vs. market cap — a chip startup acquisition is a rounding error against Apple's ~$3T valuation). |
| Fri Jul-17 21:06:48 | AMZN | ▼ short | +1.28 | +0.59% | -0.47% | Entry vs. outcome: The thesis was second-order — bearish AMZN based on a competitor's announcement — and the market barely cared: price moved less than ±0.6% while open and the +$1.28 P&L is pure noise, not a validated edge. The "FRESH" verdict fired on a headline whose actual impact on AMZN was speculative (a rival announcing a product years from revenue is not a sell signal for a cloud incumbent), so the trade was effectively a coin flip that landed flat. Improvement: Tighten the entry rule so second-order/competitor news requires a higher bar than FRESH alone — e.g., only trade the indirectly-affected ticker if it shows a confirming price/volume reaction (say, ≥1% move in the thesis direction within the first 30 minutes); otherwise trade the directly-named ticker (META) or skip. Alternatively, add a minimum expected-move threshold to the verdict so trades with sub-1% realized ranges like this one never get opened. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:07:01 | AMZN | ▼ short | +1.60 | +0.61% | -0.45% | The entry treated a single executive poaching story as a FRESH bearish catalyst, but a departing AWS SVP is a low-materiality personnel item — and the outcome confirmed it: the stock barely moved (+0.16% on ~$990 notional, max excursion under ±0.65%), so you captured noise, not signal. The trade "worked" only by coin-flip, which is worse than a clean loss for evaluating the rule. Concrete fix: add a materiality gate to the FRESH verdict — personnel news should only qualify if it involves the CEO/CFO or a named segment leader of the traded company itself (this was arguably more bullish for META than bearish for AMZN), and/or require a minimum implied-move threshold so sub-0.5%-expected-impact headlines are auto-classified STALE/SKIP. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:07:09 | ASML | ▲ long | -24.26 | +0.79% | -1.78% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale bought a rumor of a negotiation — ASML asking for a 10% price hike that TSMC was actively resisting — and treated it as a done-deal repricing catalyst. The market didn't reprice anything: the trade never got more than +0.79% in the money and bled to -1.37%, consistent with a non-event. Improvement: Tighten the REPRICING verdict to require a confirmed pricing/earnings change (signed agreement, guidance update, or filed disclosure), not an ongoing negotiation with stated counterparty pushback. Alternatively, downgrade "negotiation-in-progress" headlines to a WATCH verdict with no entry, or require the max-favorable-excursion thesis to prove out within N days before holding through drawdown. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:07:18 | AVGO | ▲ long | -6.52 | +0.38% | -1.48% | Retro note: The entry treated a supplier's $400M capex announcement as a repricing catalyst for AVGO, but this is Powertech's investment, not Broadcom's — it's second-order news with no direct earnings impact on a ~$800B mega-cap, and the price action confirmed it (max upside only +0.38% before drifting to a -0.87% loss). The "REPRICING" verdict was too generous for partner/supplier headlines where the traded ticker isn't the party committing capital. Improvement: Add a materiality filter to the verdict logic — require the news to involve the traded company's own capital, guidance, or revenue (or a deal size above some threshold relative to market cap, e.g., >0.5%) before REPRICING is allowed; otherwise downgrade to NOISE/no-trade. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:07:26 | NVDA | ▲ long | -9.60 | +0.33% | -2.03% | The entry rationale is weak: a TSMC capacity announcement about packaging facilities in Chiayi is a multi-year supply-chain story, not a fresh catalyst for NVDA specifically, so tagging it FRESH and buying a second-order beneficiary was a stretch. The outcome bears this out — the trade never got more than +0.33% in your favor and bled to -2.03% before exiting for a loss, exactly what you'd expect from news with no near-term earnings or demand implication. Concrete fix: require the catalyst to name the traded ticker directly (or add a "derivative exposure" penalty that downgrades FRESH to STALE/NEUTRAL when the subject company differs from the traded one), so long-horizon supplier capex news can't trigger entries by itself. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:07:36 | AMD | ▲ long | -3.87 | +0.60% | -2.02% | The entry was a bet on speculation — an analyst anticipating announcements at a future event — not on confirmed news, and the trade never got meaningful traction (+0.60% max favorable vs. -2.02% drawdown) before closing at a loss. "FRESH" was the wrong verdict for a rumor about something that hasn't happened yet; that's a pre-event hope trade, not a fresh catalyst. Concrete fix: tighten the FRESH criteria to require a confirmed, realized event (deal announced, guidance raised), and route "analyst anticipates X" headlines to a separate SPECULATIVE bucket that either skips the trade or waits for the actual event before entry. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:07:47 | NVDA | ▼ short | +9.36 | +1.99% | -0.37% | Rationale vs. outcome: The entry was a second-order inference — bullish AMD speculation used to justify shorting NVDA — which is a weak causal link, and the +$9.36 result (roughly +1.1%) is small enough to be indistinguishable from noise. The trade also captured barely half its peak unrealized gain (+1.99%), so even when the thesis "worked," execution left money on the table. Improvement: Tighten the FRESH verdict to require the catalyst headline to name the traded ticker directly; cross-ticker/competitor inferences (AMD news → NVDA short) should be downgraded to a weaker verdict or require a confirming NVDA-specific signal before entry. Alternatively, if competitor-read-through trades stay allowed, cut position size for them, since the edge is speculative rather than event-driven. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:07:57 | AAPL | ▲ long | +9.42 | +1.18% | -0.43% | Comparison: The entry rationale is shaky — labeling early DOJ settlement talks as "FRESH bullish" is a stretch, since antitrust settlement news is ambiguous (settlement = removal of overhang, but also admission of legal exposure), and the trade's outcome (+0.95%, max favorable +1.18%) looks more like market drift than a catalyst-driven move. The thesis wasn't really validated; you just got paid a small amount for holding AAPL during a quiet period. Improvement: Require regulatory/legal headlines to clear a directional-clarity bar before assigning a bullish/bearish verdict — e.g., only trade "settlement" news when terms are announced (fine size, remedies), and downgrade "early discussions" stories to NEUTRAL/no-trade. Alternatively, add a minimum expected-move threshold so FRESH verdicts on mega-caps like AAPL aren't triggered by news unlikely to move the stock more than ~1%. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:08:08 | AMZN | ▲ long | -3.36 | +0.16% | -0.80% | Comparison: The entry treated widely-covered earnings/AI headlines (AWS growth, OpenAI partnership) as FRESH, but the price action says the market had already digested it — the trade never got more than +0.16% in your favor and bled to a -0.8% drawdown before exiting flat-to-negative. A "strong catalyst" that produces zero follow-through is the classic signature of buying priced-in news. Improvement: Tighten the FRESH verdict to require both recency and that the stock hasn't already moved on the news — e.g., reject entries if the ticker is already up more than ~2% since the story broke, or demand intraday momentum confirmation (price above VWAP / making new session highs) before triggering the buy. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:08:16 | AMZN | ▲ long | -2.80 | +0.17% | -0.74% | Comparison: The entry treated a $25B bond sale as fresh bullish catalyst, but debt issuance to fund capex is neither surprising (Amazon's AI spending plans were well telegraphed) nor unambiguously bullish — it can just as easily read as margin pressure and dilution of free cash flow. The outcome confirmed the thesis had no edge: the position never gained more than +0.17% and drifted to a small loss, i.e., the "catalyst" moved nothing. Improvement: Tighten the FRESH verdict to exclude financing/capex announcements unless they materially exceed prior guidance or come with a same-day price/volume confirmation (e.g., require the stock to be up >0.5% on above-average volume before entry). Corporate plumbing news like bond sales should default to NEUTRAL, not bullish. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:08:33 | AAPL | ▲ long | +10.23 | +1.26% | +0.04% | Entry vs. outcome: The entry rationale was a supply-chain rumor about a product launching 12–18+ months out — that's a long-horizon narrative catalyst, not a tradeable near-term edge. The trade won (+10 USD, ~1%), but the max-favorable/max-adverse profile (+1.26%/+0.04%) looks like generic AAPL drift, not a reaction to the news; the thesis and the P&L are essentially uncorrelated, so this is a lucky win, not a validated signal. Improvement: Add a catalyst-horizon filter to the FRESH verdict — e.g., news must reference an event or financial impact within ~90 days, otherwise downgrade to WATCH/no-trade. Alternatively, require the stock to show abnormal volume or a >0.5% news-day move before entry, so you're only buying "fresh" news the market actually cares about. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:08:44 | AMZN | ▲ long | -1.24 | -0.01% | -0.57% | Entry vs. outcome: The "FRESH" verdict was dubious — AWS custom silicon crossing $1B is a slow-burn, widely-telegraphed story, and $1B is immaterial noise against Amazon's ~$600B revenue base, so there was no catalyst to move the stock. The price action confirmed it: the position never went positive (best +0.0%, worst -0.57%) and bled out to a flat -1.24, i.e., you paid spread for nothing. Improvement: Add a materiality filter to the entry rule — require the cited catalyst to represent a meaningful fraction of the company's revenue/earnings (e.g., ≥1-2% of trailing revenue) or be a genuine surprise vs. consensus; alternatively, tighten the FRESH verdict to reject milestone/scaling stories that were already reported weeks earlier. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:08:53 | AAPL | ▲ long | +9.69 | +1.21% | -0.01% | Comparison: The trade won (+0.98%), but the rationale was shaky — "skipping Pro/Max/Ultra chips" is arguably a negative or at best mixed signal, so tagging it FRESH/bullish looks like the classifier rewarded novelty rather than direction. The near-zero max drawdown (-0.01%) suggests the win came from favorable market drift, not the catalyst itself. Improvement: Add a directional-clarity threshold to the verdict: FRESH alone shouldn't trigger entry unless the news has an unambiguous bullish/bearish reading (e.g., require a sentiment confidence score, or downgrade mixed-signal product roadmap news to NEUTRAL/no-trade). Right now you're taking positions on novelty, and this win shouldn't validate that. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:01 | NVDA | ▲ long | -6.80 | +0.15% | -1.68% | Comparison: The entry treated a partnership headline as "FRESH" tradeable news, but partnership announcements with no revenue quantification are classic buy-the-rumor fodder — NVDA barely ticked up (+0.15% max) before drifting down, suggesting the news was already priced in or simply immaterial to a $5T market cap. The outcome (-1.68% max drawdown, exited near the low) shows there was never real momentum behind the signal. Improvement: Require partnership/collaboration headlines to include a quantified financial commitment (e.g., disclosed deal size or explicit revenue guidance) before qualifying as FRESH, or downgrade unquantified partnerships to a lower-conviction verdict that demands confirming price action (e.g., stock up >0.5% on the news before entry). |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:12 | AAPL | ▼ short | -9.21 | +0.05% | -1.17% | Entry vs. outcome: The rationale was pure macro/sector contagion (AI demand fears, Chinese AI model, Netflix earnings) with zero AAPL-specific catalyst, and the trade behaved accordingly — it never worked, topping out at +0.05% unrealized before grinding to a -1.17% drawdown and a loss. Shorting a mega-cap on second-hand sentiment about semis and a different company's earnings is a weak edge. Improvement: Tighten the FRESH verdict to require at least one catalyst directly naming the traded ticker (news, guidance, downgrade), or downgrade broad-market/sector-sympathy signals to a lower-conviction tier that either skips the trade or halves position size. |
| Fri Jul-17 21:09:22 | AMD | ▼ short | -3.98 | +0.58% | -0.75% | The entry shorted AMD on a broad geopolitical headline that was really an Nvidia/Huawei competition story — a diffuse, slow-burn macro narrative with no AMD-specific catalyst — and the trade predictably chopped in a ±0.75% band before closing at a small loss. The "FRESH" verdict rewarded recency but not relevance: a multilateral AI cooperation announcement isn't the kind of news that moves a stock intraday. Concrete fix: require the catalyst to name the traded ticker (or a direct supplier/customer) and add a price-confirmation gate — e.g., only enter bearish if the stock is already down >0.5% on the session — so vague sector-adjacent headlines don't trigger single-name shorts. |
Verdict: mixed — yesterday's S4 position-control fix landed and worked (14 unique overnight tickers, zero duplicate/self-hedging pairs), but it exposed the next flaw: S4 has no verdict gate, so the day's first, stalest alert locks the overnight direction and then blocks every better-informed later signal. Closed P&L ≈ -$179 (≈ -$89 from yesterday's S4 book, ≈ -$89 intraday churn). No injected instructions found in story summaries.
Observation 1 — S4 first-signal-wins on PRICED verdicts. Roughly 10 of 14 overnight entries fired off PRICED verdicts that S1 correctly skipped: NVDA locked SHORT at 12:00 off the SK Hynix story with NVDA already -4.7% since close, then blocked 7+ later buy signals including the 20:09 REPRICING buy (Vera Rubin denial); TSM locked SHORT at 12:01 (PRICED, -5.4%) and blocked ~10 buy attempts including REPRICING buys at 16:00/16:10 as TSM recovered from -6.2% to -2%. The dedup logic works; the direction it protects is systematically the most stale read of the day.
Observation 2 — MSFT execution failures persist and ate the cleanest signals. Three MSFT orders (S3 buy 12:50, S1 buy 13:00, S3 sell 13:10) show status "failed" with null fills — same pathology as the failed ASML S3 order flagged last report. MSFT was the day's dominant FRESH ticker (the only name under the 1.0% FRESH bar on nearly every alert); the blocked buys had +0.36%/+0.37% to close.
Observation 3 — intraday: ~60 S1-S3 trades netted ≈ -$89, losses concentrated in second-order sympathy trades the retros flag repeatedly: QCOM short -21.05 off an AMD/NVDA headline, AMD short -19.88 into the semi rebound, S3 ASML buy -33.41 off TSMC's earnings. The gates themselves were right when they fired: tape-contradiction correctly blocked NVDA buys at 15:40-16:00 (NVDA fell -0.69%/-0.87% to close), and the direction-agnostic PRICED gate correctly skipped a MU long at +4.79% (17:20) before MU faded -4.43% into the close.
Recommendation (single change): gate S4 entries on verdict exactly like S1-S3 — only queue an overnight position when the primary ticker's verdict is FRESH or REPRICING; skip and log on PRICED/UNKNOWN. Applied today this removes the ~10 stale-direction entries (NVDA/TSM/GOOGL/TSLA shorts and MU/AAPL/AMD/META/PLTR longs, all initiated off PRICED verdicts), shrinks the overnight book to ~4 positions genuinely tied to unpriced news (MSFT, AMZN, SMCI, AVGO), and — critically — stops a 12:00 PRICED alert from occupying the per-ticker slot and vetoing later REPRICING signals in the opposite direction. The MSFT/high-price execution failure is next in line: three null fills in two days on the pilot's most frequent FRESH ticker.