Mon Aug-31 20:00:18
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #98 Fri Jul-17 15:30:08
TSMC adds $100bn to US Arizona plan as Q2 net income rises 77%
TSMC reported a 77% increase in Q2 net income and announced an additional $100bn investment to expand its US manufacturing footprint in Arizona.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.74% | +0.85% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.51% | -1.16% | 626.66 | 655.30 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.56% | -0.45% | 334.74 | 350.26 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.36% | +2.39% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.95% | +0.08% | 389.60 | 396.89 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.69% | +1.02% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.39% | +0.21% | 165.27 | 172.45 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.04% | +1.35% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.52% | +0.27% | 244.00 | 249.74 | |
| AAPL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.33% | +0.43% | 329.44 | 334.81 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.74% · Δ 30m +0.85% · px 398.53 (prev 409.74) → close -0.06% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.69% since prev close → close -0.21% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported a 77% increase in Q2 net income and announced an additional $100bn investment to expand its US manufacturing footprint in Arizona.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.