Mon Aug-31 19:03:21
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🚨 Alert #146 Fri Jul-17 17:10:09
Meta's Stock Surges After AI-Boosted Ad Sales Overshadow CapEx Surge
Meta Platforms reported record Q2 revenue and earnings that beat estimates, raised Q3 guidance, and increased its annual capital expenditure forecast, driving an 11% surge in after-hours stock price.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.76% | +0.39% | 626.66 | 655.30 | |
| counterparty MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.40% | -0.15% | 389.60 | 396.89 | |
| peer GOOGL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.20% | -0.28% | 334.74 | 350.26 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.23% | -0.02% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.86% | -0.39% | 244.00 | 249.74 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.64% | +0.36% | 358.73 | 376.80 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | META | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.76% · Δ 30m +0.39% · px 632.93 (prev 664.54) → close +2.23% |
| S2 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.40% · Δ 30m -0.15% · px 391.49 (prev 401.10) → close +0.78% |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.20% · Δ 30m -0.28% · px 346.65 (prev 354.46) → close -0.01% |
| S4 | META | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy META at close, exit next close (earnings: Meta Platforms reported record Q2 revenue and earnings that beat estimates, raised Q3 guidance, and increased its annual capital expenditure forecast, driving an 11% surge in after-hours stock price.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy META exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.