Mon Aug-31 20:00:35
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #84 Fri Jul-17 14:50:05
Bitcoin Price Falls Under $63, Onchain Data Points To Buyers
Geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty triggered a broad market sell-off, pressuring semiconductor stocks including Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom, and Qualcomm.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.96% | -1.31% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| peer AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -7.75% | -3.75% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.66% | -0.85% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.42% | -1.79% | 23.40 | 25.16 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.81% | -0.56% | 808.10 | 902.11 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.77% | -1.24% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.64% | -0.88% | 626.66 | 655.30 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.51% | -1.00% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.05% | -0.35% | 334.74 | 350.26 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.96% | +0.60% | 129.44 | 134.55 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.92% | -0.69% | 377.87 | 385.31 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.82% | +0.32% | 389.60 | 396.89 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.75% | +1.07% | 165.27 | 172.45 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.51% | +0.87% | 244.00 | 249.74 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.06% | -0.09% | 329.44 | 334.81 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.96% · Δ 30m -1.31% · px 199.19 (prev 207.40) → close +2.15% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -7.75% · Δ 30m -3.75% · px 462.12 (prev 500.94) → close +7.80% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty triggered a broad market sell-off, pressuring semiconductor stocks including Nvidia, Micron, Broadcom, and Qualcomm.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.