Mon Aug-31 20:01:00
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🚨 Alert #185 Fri Jul-17 21:09:53
U.S. Opens Patent Probe Into Samsung AI Memory Chips, Pulling Nvidia, Google, and Broadcom Into Widening Netlist Dispute
The U.S. International Trade Commission has launched a patent infringement investigation into Samsung AI memory chips, naming Nvidia, Google, Broadcom, and Super Micro Computer as respondents in the dispute.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.46% | -0.14% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| TSM | · unclear | PRICED | -2.95% | +0.29% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| peer MU | · unclear | PRICED | +2.71% | +1.83% | 808.10 | 902.11 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.41% | +0.47% | 334.74 | 350.26 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.35% | -1.29% | 23.40 | 25.16 | |
| ASML | · unclear | PRICED | -2.15% | -0.33% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.55% | -0.75% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | -1.03% | +0.49% | 462.12 | 505.29 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.46% · Δ 30m -0.14% · px 202.29 (prev 207.40) → close +0.59% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MU | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MU → close -2.50% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (regulatory: The U.S. International Trade Commission has launched a patent infringement investigation into Samsung AI memory chips, naming Nvidia, Google, Broadcom, and Super Micro Computer as respondents in the dispute.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.