Mon Aug-31 19:02:09
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #55 Fri Jul-17 13:50:22
Futures tumble as DeepSeek sparks chip meltdown, crypto scam tokens flood Solana and Ethereum
Nvidia shares plummeted and broader tech futures tumbled after Chinese AI startup DeepSeek released efficient models that challenged the assumption of escalating GPU demand.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.89% | +0.24% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -10.82% | -0.50% | 23.40 | 25.16 | |
| peer AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -9.47% | -0.46% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.51% | +0.09% | 808.10 | 902.11 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -7.37% | -0.16% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.96% | -0.30% | 165.27 | 172.45 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.76% | -0.41% | 334.74 | 350.26 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.89% | -0.11% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.52% | -0.26% | 626.66 | 655.30 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.86% | -0.47% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.71% | -0.53% | 244.00 | 249.74 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.74% | +0.10% | 329.44 | 334.81 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.56% | -0.09% | 389.60 | 396.89 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.89% · Δ 30m +0.24% · px 202.11 (prev 212.50) → close +0.68% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.47% · Δ 30m -0.46% · px 479.02 (prev 529.14) → close +4.00% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Nvidia shares plummeted and broader tech futures tumbled after Chinese AI startup DeepSeek released efficient models that challenged the assumption of escalating GPU demand.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.