Mon Aug-31 19:04:52
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🚨 Alert #123 Fri Jul-17 16:50:12
Taiwan Semiconductor Posts 34% Q2 Revenue Growth; Analyst Raises Price Target On 'Highly Bullish' Investm
TSMC reported Q2 revenue growth of 34% year-on-year, beat estimates, raised full-year revenue and capital expenditure guidance, and received a price target increase from DA Davidson.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.42% | +0.72% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.86% | +0.94% | 23.40 | 25.16 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.46% | +1.59% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.21% | +0.66% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.11% | +1.13% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.87% | +0.56% | 358.73 | 376.80 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.42% · Δ 30m +0.72% · px 399.83 (prev 409.74) → close -0.39% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.21% since prev close → close -0.69% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (earnings: TSMC reported Q2 revenue growth of 34% year-on-year, beat estimates, raised full-year revenue and capital expenditure guidance, and received a price target increase from DA Davidson.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.