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🚨 Alert #176 Fri Jul-17 20:20:15
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ASML Posts Blockbuster Q2 Numbers and Raises Guidance. ASML Stock Still Has Room to Run.
ASML reported Q2 2026 earnings that beat revenue and earnings estimates and raised future guidance driven by strong demand for memory chips.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.05% | -0.42% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| peer TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.52% | -0.31% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.54% | -0.51% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.65% | -0.67% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.97% | -0.47% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.95% | -1.03% | 808.10 | 902.11 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.05% · Δ 30m -0.42% · px 1748.31 (prev 1784.87) → close +0.25% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.52% · Δ 30m -0.31% · px 395.31 (prev 409.74) → close +0.75% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy ASML at close, exit next close (earnings: ASML reported Q2 2026 earnings that beat revenue and earnings estimates and raised future guidance driven by strong demand for memory chips.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy ASML exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.