Mon Aug-31 19:03:54
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #135 Fri Jul-17 17:00:22
Google expects AI budget to rise amid capacity shortages, with capex doubling to $190B
Alphabet announced plans to double its 2026 capital expenditures to $175-190 billion to address AI infrastructure capacity shortages, citing strong demand that exceeds current supply capabilities.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.90% | +0.13% | 334.74 | 350.26 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -4.77% | +0.45% | 626.66 | 655.30 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | -2.11% | +0.39% | 389.60 | 396.89 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.67% | +1.26% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.03% | +0.62% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| counterparty AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | -0.49% | -0.02% | 244.00 | 249.74 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.48% | +0.99% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.23% | +1.76% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.07% | +2.90% | 462.12 | 505.29 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.90% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 347.72 (prev 354.46) → close -0.31% |
| S2 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMZN → close -0.41% |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.03% since prev close → close -0.87% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy GOOGL at close, exit next close (guidance: Alphabet announced plans to double its 2026 capital expenditures to $175-190 billion to address AI infrastructure capacity shortages, citing strong demand that exceeds current supply capabilities.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.