Mon Aug-31 20:00:20
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #77 Fri Jul-17 14:20:22
Apple Faces Extreme Drop in Global Smartphone Sales
Global smartphone shipments fell 11% year-over-year in Q2 2026 to their lowest second-quarter level since 2013, with Apple losing its market share lead to Samsung amid rising memory costs and supply constraints.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.79% | +0.05% | 329.44 | 334.81 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | -10.67% | +0.17% | 23.40 | 25.16 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | -9.26% | +0.23% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | -8.73% | -0.24% | 808.10 | 902.11 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | -7.46% | -0.11% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | -7.03% | -0.29% | 334.74 | 350.26 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | -6.78% | +0.19% | 165.27 | 172.45 | |
| TSM | · unclear | PRICED | -6.07% | -0.20% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -5.18% | -0.68% | 626.66 | 655.30 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | -5.02% | -0.14% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | -4.30% | -0.61% | 244.00 | 249.74 | |
| ASML | · unclear | PRICED | -4.17% | -0.32% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| TSLA | · unclear | PRICED | -3.08% | -0.10% | 377.87 | 385.31 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | PRICED | -3.05% | -0.31% | 129.44 | 134.55 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | -0.79% | -0.23% | 389.60 | 396.89 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.79% · Δ 30m +0.05% · px 333.36 (prev 327.50) → close +0.10% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +0.52% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell AAPL at close, exit next close (other: Global smartphone shipments fell 11% year-over-year in Q2 2026 to their lowest second-quarter level since 2013, with Apple losing its market share lead to Samsung amid rising memory costs and supply constraints.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted sell but open S4 buy AAPL exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.