Mon Aug-31 19:01:47
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #89 Fri Jul-17 15:10:14
ASML Raises Outlook, Plans More EUV Capacity - EE Times
ASML reported second-quarter earnings that exceeded guidance and raised its full-year financial outlook, citing strong demand for AI infrastructure and equipment upgrades.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.20% | +2.11% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.33% | +3.05% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.30% | +5.10% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.50% | +2.96% | 23.40 | 25.16 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.39% | +6.33% | 808.10 | 902.11 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.23% | +2.51% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.96% | +2.70% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.37% | +2.44% | 165.27 | 172.45 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.20% · Δ 30m +2.11% · px 1745.55 (prev 1784.87) → close +0.41% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred buy contradicts tape: NVDA -1.23% since prev close → close -0.67% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy ASML at close, exit next close (earnings: ASML reported second-quarter earnings that exceeded guidance and raised its full-year financial outlook, citing strong demand for AI infrastructure and equipment upgrades.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 buy ASML exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.