Mon Aug-31 19:01:42
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🚨 Alert #39 Fri Jul-17 13:10:24
TSMC A14 Chips Mass Production by 2028
TSMC announced that mass production of its A14 process node will begin in 2028, offering significant performance and power efficiency improvements over the 2nm process.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.96% | -0.83% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -9.10% | -1.24% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -7.15% | -0.39% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -7.14% | -0.92% | 165.27 | 172.45 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.96% | -0.24% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.44% | -0.68% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| AAPL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.63% | +0.07% | 329.44 | 334.81 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.96% · Δ 30m -0.83% · px 394.48 (prev 419.48) → close +0.96% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.96% · Δ 30m -0.24% · px 201.96 (prev 212.50) → close +0.75% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy TSM at close, exit next close (product: TSMC announced that mass production of its A14 process node will begin in 2028, offering significant performance and power efficiency improvements over the 2nm process.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSM exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.