Mon Aug-31 19:02:39
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #61 Fri Jul-17 14:00:08
Samsung's stock just dropped despite promising an 1,800% jump in profits. Is big tech about to break? Protect yourself
Samsung Electronics shares fell sharply despite reporting an 1,800% jump in operating profit, raising concerns about the stability of the broader semiconductor and big tech sector.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.80% | +0.23% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -10.74% | -0.24% | 23.40 | 25.16 | |
| peer AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -9.04% | -0.05% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.24% | +0.46% | 808.10 | 902.11 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -7.11% | +0.20% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.73% | +0.24% | 165.27 | 172.45 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.81% | +0.03% | 387.71 | 403.82 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.90% | -0.16% | 1709.45 | 1787.74 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.69% | -0.03% | 329.44 | 334.81 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.80% · Δ 30m +0.23% · px 202.29 (prev 212.50) → close +0.59% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.04% · Δ 30m -0.05% · px 481.30 (prev 529.14) → close +3.50% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (earnings: Samsung Electronics shares fell sharply despite reporting an 1,800% jump in operating profit, raising concerns about the stability of the broader semiconductor and big tech sector.) [skipped at close: duplicate — already holding S4 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.