Mon Aug-31 19:02:06
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #78 Fri Jul-17 14:20:22
Samsung Reportedly Still Waits For Nvidia HBM4 Volume Order
Reports indicate Samsung has not yet received a volume production order for HBM4 memory from Nvidia, limiting its revenue to paid evaluation samples.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | -5.02% | -0.14% | 198.60 | 206.45 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | -10.67% | +0.17% | 23.40 | 25.16 | |
| peer AMD | · unclear | PRICED | -9.26% | +0.23% | 462.12 | 505.29 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.73% | -0.24% | 808.10 | 902.11 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | -7.46% | -0.11% | 358.73 | 376.80 | |
| TSM | · unclear | PRICED | -6.07% | -0.20% | 387.71 | 403.82 |
🧭 Decisions
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.