kingfisher — alert #115

🚨 Alert #115 Fri Jul-17 16:10:27

Fed Probe Suggests Tesla's Self-Driving Feature Not to Blame for Deadly Crash

manufacturing.net · Fri Jul-17 01:00:00 published · Fri Jul-17 16:10:27 alerted · alerted 15h 10m after publish · read at www.manufacturing.net ↗ · regulatory · mat 65

Federal investigators concluded that driver error, not Tesla's self-driving software, caused a fatal crash, potentially mitigating immediate regulatory liability for the automaker.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

ticker	direction	verdict	since close	30m	day lo	day hi	intraday px
primary TSLA	▲ bullish	PRICED	-2.80%	-0.38%	377.87	385.31

🧭 Decisions

strategy	ticker	action	side	rationale
S1	TSLA	○ skip	—	verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.80% · Δ 30m -0.38% · px 380.10 (prev 391.06) → close +0.44%
S2	-	○ skip	—	no counterparty in universe
S3	-	○ skip	—	no peer in universe
S4	TSLA	○ skip	—	overnight drift: buy TSLA at close, exit next close (regulatory: Federal investigators concluded that driver error, not Tesla's self-driving software, caused a fatal crash, potentially mitigating immediate regulatory liability for the automaker.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell TSLA exiting 2026-07-20]

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.