Sun Oct-18 15:16:26
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4313 Wed Sep-09 17:20:55
S&P 500 full-year profit estimates jump to 32% growth as AI spending reshapes corporate earnings
S&P 500 full-year earnings growth estimates have risen to 32% driven by a surge in AI-related capital expenditures from hyperscalers like Amazon and Microsoft.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMZN | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.08% | +0.03% | 250.82 | 255.00 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +6.33% | +0.26% | 633.02 | 656.86 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.24% | -0.36% | 498.77 | 525.48 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.66% | +0.06% | 38.74 | 40.12 | |
| peer GOOGL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.62% | -0.08% | 328.22 | 334.58 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.41% | -0.61% | 359.66 | 366.48 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.07% | -0.30% | 993.89 | 1040.09 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.65% | -0.40% | 1715.82 | 1748.70 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.31% | +0.43% | 173.30 | 180.29 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.21% | -0.31% | 432.00 | 438.98 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.86% | -0.25% | 223.47 | 225.87 | |
| AAPL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.83% | +0.06% | 310.36 | 318.52 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.55% | -0.11% | 482.87 | 514.84 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.18% | +0.10% | 169.06 | 171.69 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.08% · Δ 30m +0.03% · px 251.63 (prev 256.97) → close +0.21% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.62% · Δ 30m -0.08% · px 329.51 (prev 338.36) → close +0.32% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.08% · Δ 30m +0.03% · px 251.63 (prev 256.97) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.