Mon Aug-31 19:02:04
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🚨 Alert #253 Mon Jul-20 16:20:12
Security and AI news from the week beginning 13 July 2026
TSMC reported strong Q2 2026 earnings with raised full-year guidance, while Apple briefly surpassed NVIDIA in market capitalization amid shifting investor sentiment.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.32% | +0.45% | 390.66 | 409.60 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | +3.83% | +0.69% | 859.68 | 900.06 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | +2.79% | -0.05% | 347.73 | 359.49 | |
| AAPL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.68% | -0.71% | 324.24 | 333.43 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +2.67% | -0.70% | 502.09 | 525.31 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | +2.23% | +0.02% | 374.54 | 383.41 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | +1.53% | +0.43% | 246.72 | 252.85 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.51% | +0.32% | 202.33 | 207.26 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | REPRICING | +0.92% | +0.57% | 388.63 | 402.83 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | FRESH | -0.89% | +0.02% | 23.83 | 24.95 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | FRESH | +0.42% | 0.00% | 127.77 | 136.25 | |
| META | · unclear | REPRICING | +0.30% | +0.80% | 637.32 | 678.03 | |
| ASML | · unclear | FRESH | -0.23% | -0.13% | 1730.44 | 1791.62 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | FRESH | +0.10% | +0.24% | 170.05 | 176.17 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.32% · Δ 30m +0.45% · px 403.62 (prev 398.37) → close -0.26% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +1.18% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.32% · Δ 30m +0.45% · px 403.62 (prev 398.37) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.