kingfisher — alert #219

🚨 Alert #219 Mon Jul-20 14:10:10

American A.I. Giants Like Alphabet Face Fresh Tests

nytimes.com · Mon Jul-20 13:30:45 published · Mon Jul-20 14:10:10 alerted · alerted 39m after publish · read at www.nytimes.com ↗ · earnings · mat 65

Alphabet is scheduled to report Q2 earnings amid growing investor scrutiny of AI spending and competitive pressure from Chinese open-source AI models.

🎯 Tickers & verdicts

ticker	direction	verdict	since close	30m	day lo	day hi
primary GOOGL	· unclear	REPRICING	-1.06%	+0.66%	347.73	359.49
AMD	· unclear	PRICED	+3.60%	+0.82%	502.09	525.31
MU	· unclear	PRICED	+3.49%	-0.76%	859.68	900.06
PLTR	· unclear	PRICED	-3.09%	-0.01%	127.77	136.25
peer MSFT	· unclear	PRICED	-3.03%	-0.34%	388.63	402.83
QCOM	· unclear	PRICED	+2.67%	-0.16%	170.05	176.17
META	· unclear	PRICED	-2.62%	-0.01%	637.32	678.03
AVGO	· unclear	REPRICING	+1.27%	+0.55%	374.54	383.41
NVDA	· unclear	REPRICING	-1.02%	-0.53%	202.33	207.26
AMZN	· unclear	FRESH	-0.82%	+0.02%	246.72	252.85
TSM	· unclear	FRESH	-0.44%	-0.12%	390.66	409.60
ASML	· unclear	FRESH	-0.44%	-0.06%	1730.44	1791.62
SMCI	· unclear	FRESH	+0.04%	+0.29%	23.83	24.95

🧭 Decisions

strategy	ticker	action	side	rationale
S1	GOOGL	○ skip	—	direction unclear for GOOGL → close +0.41%
S2	-	○ skip	—	no counterparty in universe
S3	MSFT	○ skip	—	direction unclear for MSFT → close +3.39%
S4	GOOGL	○ skip	—	direction unclear for GOOGL

📈 Trades

no trades spawned

📖 Glossary

S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.