Mon Aug-31 19:03:24
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #220 Mon Jul-20 14:20:13
Google plans to deploy Frozen V2 chips by 2028, escalating the AI hardware arms race
Google plans to deploy its custom Frozen V2 AI chips by 2028, promising significant efficiency gains over current TPUs for Gemini workloads.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.31% | +0.35% | 347.73 | 359.49 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.65% | +0.86% | 502.09 | 525.31 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -3.08% | -0.42% | 637.32 | 678.03 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | -3.05% | -0.04% | 388.63 | 402.83 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.95% | -0.28% | 202.33 | 207.26 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | -0.86% | -0.18% | 246.72 | 252.85 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.81% | -0.19% | 374.54 | 383.41 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.31% · Δ 30m +0.35% · px 349.81 (prev 354.46) → close +0.67% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell NVDA (product: Google plans to deploy its custom Frozen V2 AI chips by 2028, promising significant efficiency gains over current TPUs for Gemini workloads.) |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.31% · Δ 30m +0.35% · px 349.81 (prev 354.46) |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S3 | NVDA | ▼ short | 4 | failed |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.