Mon Aug-31 19:03:59
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #213 Mon Jul-20 13:50:19
Tech Stocks Tumble, Oil Spikes Past $90 Amid Market Rout
Global tech stocks are tumbling and oil prices are spiking past $90 due to Middle East conflict and inflation fears ahead of Q2 earnings from Alphabet and Tesla.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.65% | +0.19% | 347.73 | 359.49 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.49% | -0.45% | 859.68 | 900.06 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.00% | -0.40% | 388.63 | 402.83 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.88% | -0.22% | 127.77 | 136.25 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.78% | +0.26% | 170.05 | 176.17 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.76% | +0.48% | 502.09 | 525.31 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.68% | -0.01% | 637.32 | 678.03 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.72% | -0.08% | 369.42 | 386.08 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.99% | +0.57% | 374.54 | 383.41 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.68% | +0.25% | 246.72 | 252.85 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.67% | +0.15% | 202.33 | 207.26 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.39% | +0.03% | 390.66 | 409.60 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.31% | +0.29% | 1730.44 | 1791.62 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.23% | +0.24% | 324.24 | 333.43 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.16% | -0.09% | 23.83 | 24.95 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.65% · Δ 30m +0.19% · px 348.60 (prev 354.46) → close +1.01% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ● enter | ▼ short | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell AAPL (other: Global tech stocks are tumbling and oil prices are spiking past $90 due to Middle East conflict and inflation fears ahead of Q2 earnings from Alphabet and Tesla.) |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.65% · Δ 30m +0.19% · px 348.60 (prev 354.46) |
📈 Trades
| strategy | ticker | side | qty | entry | exit | P&L $ | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S3 | AAPL | ▼ short | 3 | failed |
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.