Mon Aug-31 20:10:46
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1436 Thu Jul-30 19:30:40
Wall Street Tumbles as Fed Split, Rising Treasury Yields and Oil Surge Rattle Investors
U.S. stocks and semiconductor shares declined sharply due to a hawkish Federal Reserve stance, rising Treasury yields, and renewed concerns over AI investment returns.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.83% | -0.14% | 192.16 | 197.05 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +17.99% | -0.01% | 747.00 | 910.99 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +17.32% | +0.50% | 425.60 | 458.17 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +13.64% | 0.00% | 440.89 | 499.88 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.99% | +0.02% | 526.00 | 544.23 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +7.80% | -0.32% | 26.27 | 28.40 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +7.54% | +0.03% | 381.99 | 412.77 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +6.07% | -0.46% | 1599.38 | 1684.28 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +4.76% | -0.06% | 232.55 | 258.50 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +4.37% | +0.28% | 374.22 | 391.00 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.09% | -0.03% | 302.90 | 310.76 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.83% | -0.40% | 146.00 | 153.87 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.51% | -0.04% | 308.00 | 336.96 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.38% | -0.30% | 331.43 | 337.96 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.72% | -0.16% | 120.48 | 123.42 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.83% · Δ 30m -0.14% · px 193.49 (prev 190.01) → close +0.66% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.51% · Δ 30m -0.04% · px 333.09 (prev 338.19) → close -0.12% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.83% · Δ 30m -0.14% · px 193.49 (prev 190.01) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.