Mon Aug-31 20:04:41
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1295 Thu Jul-30 14:33:52
The Fed Gets a Better Inflation Number
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure rose only 0.1% in June while GDP growth slowed to 1.5%, strengthening the case for lower interest rates despite some internal dissent.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +12.27% | +2.37% | 425.60 | 458.17 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -10.18% | -1.03% | 526.00 | 544.23 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.31% | +0.52% | 747.00 | 910.99 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +7.23% | +1.22% | 440.89 | 499.88 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +6.14% | +1.30% | 1599.38 | 1684.28 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.90% | -2.88% | 146.00 | 153.87 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.55% | -0.47% | 26.27 | 28.40 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +4.11% | +0.09% | 381.99 | 412.77 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.93% | -0.72% | 232.55 | 258.50 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.74% | -0.51% | 192.16 | 197.05 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.62% | -0.75% | 120.48 | 123.42 | |
| TSLA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +1.57% | -0.46% | 302.90 | 310.76 | |
| peer AAPL | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.52% | -0.58% | 308.00 | 336.96 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.73% | -0.27% | 331.43 | 337.96 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.21% | +0.07% | 374.22 | 391.00 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred long contradicts tape: AAPL -1.52% since prev close → close -0.11% |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.