Mon Aug-31 20:13:21
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1274 Thu Jul-30 13:44:10
Omdia: AI Demand Drives 94.1% Surge in Semiconductor Forecast for 2026
Omdia raised its 2026 semiconductor revenue forecast by 94.1% due to AI-driven demand outpacing supply for memory chips and advanced packaging capacity.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.13% | +0.66% | 747.00 | 910.99 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -11.20% | -0.28% | 526.00 | 544.23 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +8.21% | -0.67% | 425.60 | 458.17 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -7.22% | +2.81% | 146.00 | 153.87 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.78% | +0.02% | 26.27 | 28.40 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.35% | +0.37% | 1599.38 | 1684.28 | |
| NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.52% | -0.10% | 192.16 | 197.05 | |
| peer AAPL | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.42% | -0.23% | 308.00 | 336.96 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.30% | -0.18% | 120.48 | 123.42 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.93% | -0.34% | 232.55 | 258.50 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.92% | +0.71% | 381.99 | 412.77 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.16% | +0.54% | 374.22 | 391.00 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.14% | +0.85% | 440.89 | 499.88 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.13% | -0.18% | 331.43 | 337.96 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.13% · Δ 30m +0.66% · px 778.40 (prev 820.53) → close +12.12% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.42% · Δ 30m -0.23% · px 335.25 (prev 340.08) → close -0.77% |
| S4 | MU | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -5.13% · Δ 30m +0.66% · px 778.40 (prev 820.53) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.