Mon Aug-31 19:05:04
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #788 Fri Jul-24 20:20:49
Megacap earnings and Fed meeting could test a market on edge next week. Here's what's ahead
Upcoming earnings reports from Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Qualcomm are expected to test market sentiment amid investor concerns over high AI capital expenditures and negative free cash flow trends observed in Alphabet's recent results.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | -0.74% | -0.07% | 231.48 | 234.89 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | -8.24% | -0.46% | 906.07 | 985.45 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | -3.56% | -0.93% | 519.05 | 548.99 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | +3.54% | +0.07% | 321.60 | 333.93 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | -3.38% | -0.35% | 379.17 | 392.10 | |
| TSM | · unclear | PRICED | -3.31% | -0.81% | 401.02 | 415.86 | |
| ASML | · unclear | PRICED | -3.30% | -0.79% | 1742.91 | 1803.81 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | -2.98% | +0.26% | 29.50 | 31.39 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | -2.85% | -0.36% | 166.15 | 171.98 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.78% | -0.67% | 205.04 | 211.59 | |
| META | · unclear | FRESH | -0.91% | +0.11% | 594.15 | 609.65 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | +0.80% | -0.06% | 380.94 | 387.73 | |
| peer GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.67% | +0.14% | 317.91 | 322.58 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | FRESH | +0.49% | -0.49% | 122.14 | 128.04 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMZN → close +0.18% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> sell GOOGL (earnings: Upcoming earnings reports from Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, and Qualcomm are expected to test market sentiment amid investor concerns over high AI capital expenditures and negative free cash flow trends observed in Alphabet's recent results.) [skipped: duplicate — already holding S3 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-24] → close +0.23% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AMZN |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.