Mon Aug-31 19:01:56
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #786 Fri Jul-24 20:12:31
A US tariff that Beijing will love
An opinion piece argues that proposed broad US tariffs on imported semiconductors would be a mistake that increases costs for US manufacturers and benefits China, contrasting with previous targeted restrictions on specific advanced chips from Nvidia and AMD.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.77% | -0.85% | 205.04 | 211.59 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.50% | -0.85% | 906.07 | 985.45 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.56% | -0.50% | 519.05 | 548.99 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.54% | +0.41% | 307.10 | 323.70 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.46% | -0.24% | 29.50 | 31.39 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.43% | +0.06% | 321.60 | 333.93 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.32% | 0.00% | 379.17 | 392.10 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.30% | -0.86% | 1742.91 | 1803.81 | |
| peer TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.18% | -0.71% | 401.02 | 415.86 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.83% | -0.28% | 166.15 | 171.98 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.88% | +0.13% | 594.15 | 609.65 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.75% | +0.06% | 380.94 | 387.73 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.75% | +0.46% | 122.14 | 128.04 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.71% | -0.06% | 231.48 | 234.89 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.68% | +0.05% | 317.91 | 322.58 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell NVDA (regulatory: An opinion piece argues that proposed broad US tariffs on imported semiconductors would be a mistake that increases costs for US manufacturers and benefits China, contrasting with previous targeted restrictions on specific advanced chips from Nvidia and AMD.) [skipped: duplicate — already holding S1 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-24] → close +0.44% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -3.18% · Δ 30m -0.71% · px 402.38 (prev 415.58) → close -0.10% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell NVDA at close, exit next close (regulatory: An opinion piece argues that proposed broad US tariffs on imported semiconductors would be a mistake that increases costs for US manufacturers and benefits China, contrasting with previous targeted restrictions on specific advanced chips from Nvidia and AMD.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 sell lost to mat 75 buy (decision 3060) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-07-27] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.