Mon Aug-31 20:13:44
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #743 Fri Jul-24 17:02:34
The second Chinese AI shock rattles US as China narrows the race
The emergence of China's Kimi K3 AI model has raised concerns about narrowing technological gaps and national security implications for US tech firms.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.75% | -0.52% | 317.91 | 322.58 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.49% | +1.29% | 906.07 | 985.45 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.54% | +0.41% | 321.60 | 333.93 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.73% | +0.18% | 307.10 | 323.70 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.95% | +0.51% | 401.02 | 415.86 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.65% | +0.57% | 379.17 | 392.10 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.46% | -0.01% | 166.15 | 171.98 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.93% | +2.45% | 29.50 | 31.39 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.69% | +0.51% | 205.04 | 211.59 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.61% | -0.33% | 380.94 | 387.73 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.61% | +0.83% | 1742.91 | 1803.81 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.51% | +1.76% | 519.05 | 548.99 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.22% | -0.25% | 231.48 | 234.89 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.07% | -0.50% | 594.15 | 609.65 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.06% | -0.48% | 122.14 | 128.04 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell GOOGL (other: The emergence of China's Kimi K3 AI model has raised concerns about narrowing technological gaps and national security implications for US tech firms.) [skipped: duplicate — already holding S1 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-24] → close +0.15% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> sell NVDA (other: The emergence of China's Kimi K3 AI model has raised concerns about narrowing technological gaps and national security implications for US tech firms.) [skipped: duplicate — already holding S3 sell NVDA exiting 2026-07-24] → close -2.01% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: sell GOOGL at close, exit next close (other: The emergence of China's Kimi K3 AI model has raised concerns about narrowing technological gaps and national security implications for US tech firms.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 sell lost to mat 85 sell (decision 3180) for S4 GOOGL exiting 2026-07-27] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.