Mon Aug-31 19:02:03
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #680 Fri Jul-24 13:01:26
Bond Market Sounds the Alarm as Iran War and Debt Reality Crush Borrowing Costs
Rising Treasury yields and oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions and inflation fears are causing a broad market sell-off affecting major tech stocks.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -13.68% | +0.13% | 307.10 | 323.70 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -6.69% | -0.02% | 317.91 | 322.58 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.07% | +0.10% | 231.48 | 234.89 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.51% | +0.13% | 594.15 | 609.65 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.41% | -0.05% | 166.15 | 171.98 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.39% | 0.00% | 29.50 | 31.39 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.74% | +0.03% | 205.04 | 211.59 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.62% | +0.25% | 906.07 | 985.45 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.33% | +0.16% | 401.02 | 415.86 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.28% | +0.24% | 379.17 | 392.10 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.27% | +0.07% | 519.05 | 548.99 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.07% | +0.01% | 380.94 | 387.73 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.03% | -0.03% | 321.60 | 333.93 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.22% | +0.14% | 122.14 | 128.04 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.20% | -0.04% | 1742.91 | 1803.81 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -13.68% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 322.83 (prev 374.01) → close -3.51% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.03% · Δ 30m -0.03% · px 322.52 (prev 325.89) → close +3.32% |
| S4 | TSLA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -13.68% · Δ 30m +0.13% · px 322.83 (prev 374.01) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.