Sun Oct-18 15:04:04
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #5491 Fri Sep-25 14:10:54
The Big One Is Rumbling in the Bond Market
Long-term government bond yields have risen to their highest levels in decades, signaling a significant shift in the global economic landscape that typically pressures equity valuations.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.99% | +0.31% | 626.27 | 641.99 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.87% | +0.31% | 1641.53 | 1757.71 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.69% | +0.05% | 41.99 | 43.60 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.51% | +0.36% | 1074.33 | 1106.25 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.26% | -0.16% | 349.64 | 356.00 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.96% | +0.05% | 368.01 | 384.39 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.90% | -0.08% | 195.69 | 205.77 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.88% | -0.11% | 449.25 | 456.33 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.76% | -0.05% | 747.60 | 777.82 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.46% | -0.04% | 223.35 | 226.53 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.21% | +0.20% | 497.08 | 519.22 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.21% | -0.12% | 189.53 | 193.75 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.18% | -0.10% | 341.70 | 346.18 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.12% | -0.23% | 247.44 | 251.44 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.02% | -0.07% | 334.92 | 341.50 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 60 below floor 75 → close +1.42% |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.