Sun Oct-18 16:03:33
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #5382 Thu Sep-24 13:50:36
Futures Tumble As Yields Hit Multi-Decade Highs, Oil Surges
US stock futures declined and tech stocks underperformed as global bond yields hit multi-decade highs amid inflation concerns and rising energy prices.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.06% | -0.20% | 221.60 | 224.52 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.62% | -0.08% | 596.40 | 630.36 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.56% | -0.66% | 39.98 | 42.24 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.15% | -0.68% | 1046.30 | 1080.17 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.08% | -0.35% | 1705.65 | 1735.35 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.87% | -0.01% | 187.59 | 194.52 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.75% | -0.13% | 726.60 | 779.36 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.45% | -0.09% | 347.08 | 351.31 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.25% | -0.07% | 440.01 | 452.13 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.15% | -0.36% | 245.81 | 250.12 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.97% | -0.19% | 376.05 | 382.72 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.78% | -0.24% | 192.33 | 200.39 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.48% | +0.13% | 491.62 | 499.00 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.31% | +0.29% | 334.09 | 342.76 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.02% | +0.04% | 334.97 | 338.49 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bearish -> short NVDA (other: US stock futures declined and tech stocks underperformed as global bond yields hit multi-decade highs amid inflation concerns and rising energy prices.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already queued S1 short NVDA exiting 2026-09-24] → close +0.62% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -0.28% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short NVDA at close, exit next close (other: US stock futures declined and tech stocks underperformed as global bond yields hit multi-decade highs amid inflation concerns and rising energy prices.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 95 long (decision 21660) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-09-25] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.