Mon Aug-31 19:01:52
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #533 Wed Jul-22 20:22:22
OpenAI's $500 B Power Play -- Building the World's Intelligence Grid
OpenAI announced a multi-year partnership with AMD to supply up to six gigawatts of next-generation AI chips starting in 2026, alongside an option for OpenAI to purchase a 10 percent stake in AMD.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.17% | +0.06% | 527.05 | 560.00 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +20.59% | -0.37% | 28.58 | 32.24 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | PRICED | -6.43% | +0.32% | 123.47 | 133.04 | |
| peer NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.95% | -0.12% | 204.56 | 214.40 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | +2.86% | +0.08% | 377.57 | 403.02 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -2.72% | 0.00% | 617.94 | 646.85 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | -2.10% | +0.24% | 386.37 | 399.90 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | +1.63% | +0.12% | 169.25 | 178.13 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | REPRICING | -1.14% | +0.82% | 240.00 | 248.50 | |
| TSLA | · unclear | PRICED | -1.06% | -0.11% | 355.60 | 380.04 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | -1.03% | -0.09% | 323.58 | 327.90 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | -0.48% | -0.37% | 325.51 | 349.70 | |
| TSM | · unclear | FRESH | -0.37% | +0.34% | 412.25 | 424.96 | |
| ASML | · unclear | FRESH | +0.22% | +0.09% | 1762.04 | 1815.00 | |
| MU | · unclear | FRESH | -0.12% | +0.32% | 924.99 | 983.29 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.17% · Δ 30m +0.06% · px 556.27 (prev 544.43) → close -1.03% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.95% · Δ 30m -0.12% · px 213.40 (prev 207.29) → close -0.60% |
| S4 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.17% · Δ 30m +0.06% · px 556.27 (prev 544.43) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.