Sun Oct-18 16:02:06
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #5221 Tue Sep-22 17:50:57
Here We Go Again -- Another Hiking Cycle?
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points and signaled one additional hike in 2026 to combat persistent inflation.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.56% | +0.03% | 1028.49 | 1097.63 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.51% | +0.03% | 253.96 | 260.00 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.19% | +0.05% | 190.47 | 198.82 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.15% | +0.57% | 40.47 | 41.62 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.07% | -0.66% | 350.85 | 363.98 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.97% | -0.01% | 339.16 | 343.59 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.95% | +0.31% | 466.45 | 508.32 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.84% | +0.62% | 374.33 | 380.02 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.76% | +0.31% | 1695.21 | 1748.66 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.70% | +0.07% | 225.70 | 229.84 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.63% | +0.60% | 182.36 | 185.35 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.55% | +0.22% | 439.81 | 452.47 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.28% | -1.00% | 730.03 | 753.67 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.20% | +0.23% | 359.95 | 366.25 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.03% | -0.17% | 604.51 | 624.04 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -0.80% |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.