Mon Aug-31 19:01:40
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #511 Wed Jul-22 19:12:19
Morgan Stanley: AI Spending Could Hit $1.4 Trillion by 2028, But 60% Leaves the US
Morgan Stanley raised its 2028 AI capital spending forecast to $1.4 trillion, noting that while spending is increasing, a significant portion leaks out of the US economy.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.03% | -0.36% | 325.51 | 349.70 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +20.61% | -1.63% | 28.58 | 32.24 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | PRICED | -6.81% | -0.64% | 123.47 | 133.04 | |
| counterparty NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.02% | -0.32% | 204.56 | 214.40 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.74% | -0.23% | 617.94 | 646.85 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.69% | -0.25% | 386.37 | 399.90 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.44% | -0.27% | 377.57 | 403.02 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.10% | -0.18% | 527.05 | 560.00 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.95% | -0.20% | 240.00 | 248.50 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | +1.45% | -0.49% | 169.25 | 178.13 | |
| peer AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | -1.18% | +0.06% | 323.58 | 327.90 | |
| TSLA | · unclear | FRESH | -0.90% | -0.35% | 355.60 | 380.04 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.67% | -0.26% | 412.25 | 424.96 | |
| MU | · unclear | REPRICING | +0.10% | -0.63% | 924.99 | 983.29 | |
| ASML | · unclear | FRESH | +0.07% | -0.35% | 1762.04 | 1815.00 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bullish -> buy GOOGL (analyst: Morgan Stanley raised its 2028 AI capital spending forecast to $1.4 trillion, noting that while spending is increasing, a significant portion leaks out of the US economy.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S1 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-22] → close -1.15% |
| S2 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.02% · Δ 30m -0.32% · px 213.55 (prev 207.29) → close -0.68% |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL → close +0.84% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: buy GOOGL at close, exit next close (analyst: Morgan Stanley raised its 2028 AI capital spending forecast to $1.4 trillion, noting that while spending is increasing, a significant portion leaks out of the US economy.) [skipped at close: signal conflict — wanted buy but open S4 sell GOOGL exiting 2026-07-23] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.