Sun Oct-18 15:04:41
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🚨 Alert #4848 Wed Sep-16 19:10:27
US Fed raises key overnight interest rate by 25 bps to 3.75-4% range
The US Federal Reserve raised the key overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75-4%.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +3.73% | +0.34% | 507.23 | 526.80 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +3.68% | +0.83% | 35.39 | 37.10 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.72% | +0.36% | 212.95 | 216.67 | |
| TSLA | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.65% | +0.50% | 355.70 | 364.61 | |
| META | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.55% | +0.69% | 668.16 | 682.73 | |
| TSM | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.24% | +0.52% | 414.41 | 421.11 | |
| peer AAPL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.83% | +0.28% | 330.83 | 334.62 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | REPRICING | +0.77% | +0.67% | 169.68 | 175.29 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | FRESH | +0.60% | +0.43% | 336.29 | 343.77 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | FRESH | -0.59% | +0.09% | 488.42 | 502.77 | |
| ASML | · unclear | FRESH | +0.55% | -0.01% | 1586.40 | 1639.00 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.26% | +0.20% | 324.65 | 347.09 | |
| MU | · unclear | FRESH | +0.17% | -0.20% | 920.24 | 940.16 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | FRESH | -0.17% | +0.19% | 244.80 | 249.46 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | FRESH | +0.06% | +0.05% | 183.82 | 190.90 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for AAPL → close -0.48% |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.