Sun Oct-18 15:06:02
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4814 Wed Sep-16 16:00:55
Direxion Semiconductor Bull ETF Drops 14% as Chip Sector Faces Sharp Selloff
The semiconductor sector experienced a sharp selloff, causing the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF to drop significantly amid broader market volatility.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.56% | +0.26% | 212.95 | 216.67 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.80% | -0.44% | 507.23 | 526.80 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.30% | +0.36% | 35.39 | 37.10 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.36% | +0.05% | 668.16 | 682.73 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.33% | +0.24% | 1586.40 | 1639.00 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.14% | +0.16% | 414.41 | 421.11 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.99% | +0.23% | 336.29 | 343.77 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.84% | +0.43% | 183.82 | 190.90 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.80% | +0.10% | 488.42 | 502.77 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.80% | +0.21% | 330.83 | 334.62 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.57% | -0.03% | 920.24 | 940.16 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.53% | +0.52% | 324.65 | 347.09 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.48% | +0.83% | 169.68 | 175.29 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.35% | +0.09% | 244.80 | 249.46 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | primary short contradicts tape: NVDA +1.56% since prev close → close -0.79% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -0.45% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short NVDA at close, exit next close (other: The semiconductor sector experienced a sharp selloff, causing the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF to drop significantly amid broader market volatility.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 95 long (decision 19136) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-09-17] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.