Sun Oct-18 15:16:50
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4748 Tue Sep-15 20:20:25
Even The Mainstream Media Is Admitting That "The Great Fuel Crisis" Is Here
Global oil reserves are depleting and supply disruptions in the Middle East have triggered a fuel crisis, creating macroeconomic headwinds for technology stocks.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +4.35% | +0.23% | 179.36 | 189.83 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.14% | -0.03% | 247.67 | 253.24 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.12% | +0.14% | 495.39 | 511.79 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.00% | +0.52% | 35.61 | 37.47 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.72% | -0.26% | 495.79 | 504.94 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.53% | -0.03% | 342.92 | 347.21 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.40% | -0.07% | 338.11 | 346.83 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.14% | +0.21% | 1578.29 | 1628.79 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.98% | +0.47% | 658.00 | 678.03 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.95% | -0.13% | 329.22 | 354.22 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.94% | +0.16% | 412.83 | 421.74 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.69% | -0.05% | 354.79 | 361.91 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.54% | +0.05% | 211.30 | 213.58 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.34% | -0.40% | 169.99 | 176.44 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.07% | +0.08% | 921.60 | 940.99 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +0.47% |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.