Sun Oct-18 15:16:30
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4648 Tue Sep-15 13:30:55
Markets on edge as US Fed meets to tackle inflation
US equities retreated and bond yields rallied as the Federal Reserve prepared to raise interest rates to combat persistent inflation driven by high energy prices.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.09% | -0.09% | 1578.29 | 1628.79 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.37% | -0.16% | 169.99 | 176.44 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.08% | -0.13% | 921.60 | 940.99 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.97% | +0.02% | 495.79 | 504.94 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.95% | +0.24% | 495.39 | 511.79 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.91% | 0.00% | 342.92 | 347.21 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.62% | -0.01% | 211.30 | 213.58 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.57% | +0.17% | 412.83 | 421.74 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.54% | +0.03% | 658.00 | 678.03 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.53% | +0.08% | 338.11 | 346.83 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.51% | +0.02% | 329.22 | 354.22 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.38% | -0.16% | 35.61 | 37.47 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.20% | +0.04% | 247.67 | 253.24 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.03% | -0.23% | 179.36 | 189.83 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.03% | +0.02% | 354.79 | 361.91 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 60 below floor 75 → close +0.02% |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.