Sun Oct-18 15:16:28
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4470 Fri Sep-11 14:31:00
Diesel tops $6 a gallon, threatening grocery and shipping costs
U.S. diesel prices surged past $6 a gallon due to escalating conflict between the U.S. and Iran, raising transportation costs and inflationary pressures.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.77% | -0.41% | 253.30 | 259.43 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.02% | -0.82% | 1697.22 | 1735.95 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.29% | -0.30% | 165.50 | 168.58 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.28% | -1.02% | 37.66 | 40.33 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.13% | -0.82% | 505.97 | 521.00 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.08% | -0.72% | 969.79 | 997.40 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.07% | -0.41% | 218.18 | 221.70 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.02% | -1.35% | 646.83 | 661.30 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.96% | +0.08% | 333.22 | 342.81 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.89% | -0.54% | 361.39 | 366.09 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.61% | -0.25% | 493.00 | 511.06 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.42% | -1.31% | 169.68 | 185.29 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.40% | -0.73% | 428.19 | 435.24 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.32% | -0.78% | 360.64 | 382.39 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.18% | +0.23% | 325.17 | 335.64 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short AMZN (other: U.S. diesel prices surged past $6 a gallon due to escalating conflict between the U.S. and Iran, raising transportation costs and inflationary pressures.) [skipped: signal conflict — wanted short, netted, outranked by S2 long AMZN mat 85 (new mat 65)] → close +1.25% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +1.67% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short AMZN at close, exit next close (other: U.S. diesel prices surged past $6 a gallon due to escalating conflict between the U.S. and Iran, raising transportation costs and inflationary pressures.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 85 long (decision 17860) for S4 AMZN exiting 2026-09-14] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.