Sun Oct-18 16:21:14
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4278 Wed Sep-09 14:40:53
Stocks fall on Wall Street as oil prices jump above $100 a barrel after US and Iran war escalates
Global stock markets declined and oil prices surged above $100 per barrel due to escalating military conflict between the US and Iran disrupting Strait of Hormuz shipments.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +5.20% | -0.08% | 633.02 | 656.86 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.83% | +3.06% | 173.30 | 180.29 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.49% | -0.38% | 328.22 | 334.58 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.27% | -0.77% | 38.74 | 40.12 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.08% | +3.24% | 498.77 | 525.48 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.63% | -0.02% | 250.82 | 255.00 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.19% | +1.30% | 1715.82 | 1748.70 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.11% | -0.22% | 359.66 | 366.48 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.02% | +2.00% | 363.85 | 373.69 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.42% | +0.82% | 993.89 | 1040.09 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.26% | +1.06% | 432.00 | 438.98 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.23% | +0.15% | 310.36 | 318.52 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.13% | -0.20% | 482.87 | 514.84 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.09% | -0.76% | 169.06 | 171.69 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.06% | +0.56% | 223.47 | 225.87 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -0.05% |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.