Sun Oct-18 15:10:59
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #4243 Tue Sep-08 19:10:28
An AI chip machine so pricey, three rivals had to say yes
Samsung and TSMC have formally committed to purchasing ASML's High-NA EUV lithography machines for future chip production, reversing earlier hesitations and validating the technology's roadmap.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.11% | +0.07% | 1747.38 | 1782.90 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +6.38% | -0.52% | 481.98 | 512.14 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.29% | +0.14% | 169.80 | 185.50 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +3.05% | +0.46% | 359.90 | 372.30 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.79% | +0.03% | 433.93 | 441.87 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.42% | -0.52% | 39.48 | 41.38 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.92% | -0.03% | 225.27 | 233.21 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.52% | -0.22% | 170.10 | 174.58 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.43% | +0.02% | 461.43 | 496.99 | |
| AAPL | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.21% | +0.01% | 315.27 | 334.03 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.53% | +0.04% | 255.06 | 257.80 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.24% | +0.31% | 943.57 | 1037.75 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.07% | -0.39% | 333.49 | 339.50 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.01% | -0.19% | 610.40 | 623.08 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.11% · Δ 30m +0.07% · px 1768.13 (prev 1714.88) → close -0.27% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred long contradicts tape: NVDA -1.92% since prev close → close -0.24% |
| S4 | ASML | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +3.11% · Δ 30m +0.07% · px 1768.13 (prev 1714.88) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.