Sun Oct-18 15:11:34
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #3899 Wed Sep-02 20:40:26
Trump floats renaming Strait of Hormuz to 'Trump Strait'
President Trump's proposal to rename the Strait of Hormuz amid an ongoing conflict with Iran and previous renaming actions affecting map data for Apple and Google signals heightened geopolitical risk and potential supply chain disruptions for the global technology sector.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.01% | -0.06% | 323.60 | 326.99 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -5.84% | +0.20% | 166.31 | 177.67 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.04% | -0.16% | 216.34 | 227.58 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.43% | -0.38% | 574.21 | 598.88 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.29% | +0.23% | 920.00 | 957.10 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.09% | +0.05% | 164.67 | 170.39 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.29% | +0.24% | 1652.15 | 1687.82 | |
| peer MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.82% | +0.17% | 493.95 | 500.48 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.69% | -0.21% | 333.77 | 339.61 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.67% | -0.14% | 453.18 | 462.14 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.66% | +0.28% | 350.60 | 360.61 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.51% | -0.54% | 348.79 | 375.22 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.38% | +0.26% | 35.78 | 37.74 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.07% | -0.22% | 408.80 | 416.35 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | FRESH | 0.00% | -0.16% | 253.03 | 256.46 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short AAPL (regulatory: President Trump's proposal to rename the Strait of Hormuz amid an ongoing conflict with Iran and previous renaming actions affecting map data for Apple and Google signals heightened geopolitical risk and potential supply chain disruptions for the global technology sector.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S3 short AAPL exiting 2026-09-02] → close -0.03% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close 0.00% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short AAPL at close, exit next close (regulatory: President Trump's proposal to rename the Strait of Hormuz amid an ongoing conflict with Iran and previous renaming actions affecting map data for Apple and Google signals heightened geopolitical risk and potential supply chain disruptions for the global technology sector.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 75 long (decision 15516) for S4 AAPL exiting 2026-09-03] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 70.