Mon Aug-31 19:02:44
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #310 Tue Jul-21 13:00:39
Iran says it launched fresh strikes on US bases, assets in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan
Iran claimed to have launched missile and drone strikes against US military assets in the Middle East and specifically targeted an Amazon data center in Bahrain.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.07% | -0.15% | 246.50 | 250.30 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +8.22% | +0.24% | 914.00 | 987.52 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +5.88% | +0.43% | 522.30 | 546.54 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +5.02% | +0.52% | 380.86 | 390.09 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +4.82% | +0.14% | 414.22 | 426.19 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.00% | +0.23% | 1787.97 | 1822.19 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.59% | 0.00% | 322.30 | 329.43 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.71% | +0.48% | 170.47 | 175.68 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.68% | -0.37% | 347.15 | 354.65 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.62% | +0.34% | 204.23 | 207.50 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.16% | +0.08% | 24.39 | 30.75 | |
| peer MSFT | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +1.15% | +0.24% | 395.85 | 401.03 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.95% | +0.22% | 131.68 | 134.54 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.02% | -0.15% | 640.50 | 657.09 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.07% · Δ 30m -0.15% · px 249.88 (prev 247.23) → close -1.01% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.15% · Δ 30m +0.24% · px 398.35 (prev 393.82) → close -0.13% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +1.07% · Δ 30m -0.15% · px 249.88 (prev 247.23) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.