Mon Aug-31 20:02:10
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2977 Thu Aug-20 19:00:49
A Day Of Reckoning Arrives For U.S. Treasuries Just As The U.S. National Debt Reaches $40,000,000,000,000
The U.S. national debt has surpassed $40 trillion for the first time, causing Treasury yields to spike and raising concerns about borrowing costs.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.42% | +0.07% | 339.13 | 349.70 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.92% | +0.03% | 921.76 | 974.69 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.72% | -0.05% | 260.11 | 266.47 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.39% | +2.69% | 35.67 | 38.25 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.10% | -0.02% | 338.89 | 344.30 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.02% | -0.31% | 539.90 | 549.79 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.85% | +0.13% | 408.14 | 417.74 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.73% | +0.57% | 360.86 | 366.52 | |
| MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.60% | -0.11% | 479.99 | 485.50 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.54% | -0.02% | 460.46 | 471.93 | |
| NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.35% | +0.23% | 215.96 | 219.30 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.33% | -0.24% | 160.18 | 164.99 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.33% | -0.23% | 1740.30 | 1770.83 | |
| peer AAPL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.21% | -0.16% | 311.30 | 318.51 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +0.10% | +0.64% | 172.20 | 176.01 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close -1.46% |
| S4 | - | ○ skip | — | no primary ticker in universe |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.