Mon Aug-31 20:07:31
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #2926 Wed Aug-19 19:10:41
30-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Level Since 2007 as AI Spending and Deficits Collide
Rising U.S. Treasury yields driven by AI infrastructure spending and deficits are triggering a selloff in Asian tech stocks and pressuring valuations for AI-exposed technology companies.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.35% | 0.00% | 217.07 | 221.80 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.54% | -0.44% | 358.32 | 380.89 | |
| AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.11% | -0.26% | 463.50 | 488.88 | |
| TSLA | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.21% | +0.30% | 335.80 | 351.49 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.90% | -0.31% | 1750.70 | 1813.08 | |
| PLTR | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +2.01% | +0.82% | 169.82 | 176.40 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.88% | +0.05% | 258.76 | 267.25 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -1.82% | -0.50% | 918.41 | 966.00 | |
| AAPL | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.64% | -0.15% | 309.38 | 318.89 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.45% | -0.04% | 539.95 | 553.68 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.08% | -0.02% | 158.63 | 166.18 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.83% | -0.39% | 36.06 | 37.68 | |
| peer MSFT | ▼ bearish | FRESH | +0.47% | +0.10% | 450.97 | 488.84 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.43% | -0.23% | 408.53 | 433.37 | |
| GOOGL | ▼ bearish | FRESH | -0.11% | -0.10% | 341.20 | 346.49 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict FRESH, direction bearish -> short NVDA (other: Rising U.S. Treasury yields driven by AI infrastructure spending and deficits are triggering a selloff in Asian tech stocks and pressuring valuations for AI-exposed technology companies.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S3 short NVDA exiting 2026-08-19] → close -0.77% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | inferred short: materiality 65 below floor 75 → close +0.05% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short NVDA at close, exit next close (other: Rising U.S. Treasury yields driven by AI infrastructure spending and deficits are triggering a selloff in Asian tech stocks and pressuring valuations for AI-exposed technology companies.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 85 long (decision 11636) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-08-20] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.