Mon Aug-31 20:04:57
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🚨 Alert #2820 Tue Aug-18 16:20:51
Global chip sales hit $403 billion in Q2 2026 as AI demand pushes full-year forecast past $1.5 trillion
Global semiconductor sales surged 35.1% in Q2 2026 to $403.3 billion, driven by AI infrastructure demand, pushing the full-year forecast above $1.5 trillion.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.52% | +0.07% | 218.93 | 221.15 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -7.53% | -0.96% | 929.02 | 977.50 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.87% | -0.47% | 475.34 | 492.00 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.66% | -0.74% | 1776.46 | 1819.80 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -5.36% | -1.25% | 36.23 | 37.93 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -4.36% | -0.42% | 410.91 | 421.24 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.54% | -0.02% | 377.11 | 387.46 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -3.26% | -0.60% | 156.90 | 161.58 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.92% | +0.70% | 543.70 | 565.22 | |
| peer AAPL | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +1.65% | -0.07% | 306.31 | 311.20 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.43% | -0.26% | 170.71 | 174.85 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.42% | +0.24% | 479.83 | 496.14 | |
| AMZN | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.29% | -0.34% | 258.17 | 262.08 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | -0.22% | +0.02% | 325.20 | 344.55 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.52% · Δ 30m +0.07% · px 219.35 (prev 225.01) → close +0.07% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | inferred long move already absorbed: AAPL +1.65% since prev close → close -0.17% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -2.52% · Δ 30m +0.07% · px 219.35 (prev 225.01) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.