Mon Aug-31 19:07:45
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1624 Mon Aug-03 13:02:48
Air cargo traffic 'defying gravity' as AI sell-off leaves project forwarders unfazed
A significant market sell-off in AI-related stocks, led by Nvidia losing $238bn in market cap, has impacted the semiconductor sector despite continued strong air cargo demand for hardware.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary NVDA | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.74% | -0.53% | 197.69 | 208.66 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | +17.37% | -0.02% | 275.80 | 286.78 | |
| MU | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -10.31% | -1.13% | 777.38 | 840.85 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | +8.44% | -0.11% | 361.61 | 375.97 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | -6.57% | +0.19% | 302.90 | 311.92 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +5.15% | +0.15% | 472.09 | 491.29 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | +5.05% | +0.12% | 562.45 | 597.04 | |
| peer AMD | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -4.48% | -0.55% | 457.76 | 495.13 | |
| QCOM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -3.74% | -0.57% | 143.27 | 152.20 | |
| ASML | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -2.31% | -0.44% | 1592.04 | 1654.25 | |
| TSM | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -1.42% | -0.30% | 390.66 | 409.80 | |
| SMCI | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | +1.02% | -0.57% | 27.75 | 28.90 | |
| AVGO | ▼ bearish | REPRICING | -0.71% | -0.54% | 376.04 | 392.45 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | primary short contradicts tape: NVDA +1.74% since prev close → close +3.91% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | AMD | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -4.48% · Δ 30m -0.55% · px 463.65 (prev 485.39) → close +4.53% |
| S4 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: short NVDA at close, exit next close (other: A significant market sell-off in AI-related stocks, led by Nvidia losing $238bn in market cap, has impacted the semiconductor sector despite continued strong air cargo demand for hardware.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 short lost to mat 75 short (decision 6460) for S4 NVDA exiting 2026-08-04] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.