Mon Aug-31 20:09:21
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1623 Mon Aug-03 13:02:28
TSMC Kumamoto Fab Profitable for First Time; Earthquake Clouds 3nm Expansion
TSMC's Kumamoto joint venture reported its first quarterly profit, though a recent earthquake has introduced uncertainty regarding the timeline for its advanced 3nm facility.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -1.42% | -0.30% | 390.66 | 409.80 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | -6.57% | +0.19% | 302.90 | 311.92 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | -4.48% | -0.55% | 457.76 | 495.13 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | -3.74% | -0.57% | 143.27 | 152.20 | |
| peer NVDA | · unclear | REPRICING | +1.74% | -0.53% | 197.69 | 208.66 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | REPRICING | -0.71% | -0.54% | 376.04 | 392.45 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.42% · Δ 30m -0.30% · px 397.58 (prev 403.31) → close +2.21% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for NVDA → close +3.91% |
| S4 | TSM | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -1.42% · Δ 30m -0.30% · px 397.58 (prev 403.31) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.