Mon Aug-31 19:04:04
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1609 Fri Jul-31 21:21:34
Big Tech holds nearly $2.4 trillion in spending commitments for AI
Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft have collectively locked in nearly $2.4 trillion in long-term AI infrastructure spending commitments, with Alphabet and Amazon already reporting negative free cash flow.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary GOOGL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +6.45% | -0.54% | 337.16 | 357.61 | |
| AMZN | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +15.15% | -0.21% | 259.40 | 272.46 | |
| AAPL | · unclear | PRICED | -7.35% | +0.72% | 300.32 | 309.72 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -6.14% | -1.88% | 812.48 | 926.39 | |
| META | ▼ bearish | PRICED | +3.15% | +0.65% | 540.82 | 557.98 | |
| MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +2.82% | +0.32% | 447.95 | 465.86 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | -2.75% | -0.70% | 146.24 | 155.18 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.53% | -0.79% | 195.33 | 201.78 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | +2.13% | -0.10% | 27.36 | 28.78 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.52% | -1.74% | 472.12 | 514.65 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.39% | -1.13% | 1622.50 | 1691.03 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | FRESH | +0.59% | -0.19% | 119.91 | 123.66 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.38% | -0.21% | 399.15 | 421.17 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.23% | -0.13% | 380.52 | 397.37 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +6.45% · Δ 30m -0.54% · px 355.18 (prev 333.66) → close +0.66% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +2.53% · Δ 30m -0.79% · px 199.98 (prev 195.04) → close +0.89% |
| S4 | GOOGL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close +6.45% · Δ 30m -0.54% · px 355.18 (prev 333.66) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.