Mon Aug-31 20:12:54
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1592 Fri Jul-31 20:11:34
Apple slides after supply shortages hurt sales forecast
Apple shares fell approximately 8% in after-hours trading after the company issued a sales forecast for the September quarter that missed analyst estimates due to component shortages and weaker performance in China and Services.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -8.71% | +0.79% | 300.32 | 309.72 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | +15.32% | +0.31% | 259.40 | 272.46 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | PRICED | +6.46% | -0.07% | 337.16 | 357.61 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | -4.20% | +0.23% | 812.48 | 926.39 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +2.51% | +0.09% | 447.95 | 465.86 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | +2.22% | +0.24% | 540.82 | 557.98 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | PRICED | -1.85% | +0.18% | 146.24 | 155.18 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | +1.70% | -0.15% | 195.33 | 201.78 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +1.66% | -0.11% | 27.36 | 28.78 | |
| TSM | · unclear | FRESH | +0.53% | -0.18% | 399.15 | 421.17 | |
| TSLA | · unclear | FRESH | +0.45% | -0.07% | 303.21 | 314.35 | |
| ASML | · unclear | FRESH | -0.39% | -0.48% | 1622.50 | 1691.03 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | FRESH | +0.20% | +0.22% | 119.91 | 123.66 | |
| AMD | · unclear | FRESH | +0.18% | -0.38% | 472.12 | 514.65 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | FRESH | -0.02% | -0.19% | 380.52 | 397.37 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -8.71% · Δ 30m +0.79% · px 304.40 (prev 333.43) → close +1.75% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +0.70% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -8.71% · Δ 30m +0.79% · px 304.40 (prev 333.43) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.