Mon Aug-31 20:13:43
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1520 Fri Jul-31 14:20:33
Apple Stock Slides 7% as Weak Sales Forecast Overshadows Quarterly Earnings Beat
Apple shares dropped over 7% after issuing weaker-than-expected revenue guidance and margin forecasts for the September quarter, despite beating earnings estimates.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AAPL | ▼ bearish | PRICED | -9.52% | -0.20% | 300.32 | 309.72 | |
| MU | · unclear | PRICED | +23.54% | +0.99% | 812.48 | 926.39 | |
| AMD | · unclear | PRICED | +17.87% | +0.97% | 472.12 | 514.65 | |
| AMZN | · unclear | PRICED | +16.96% | +1.80% | 259.40 | 272.46 | |
| peer MSFT | · unclear | PRICED | +15.50% | +0.18% | 447.95 | 465.86 | |
| TSM | · unclear | PRICED | +11.91% | +0.67% | 399.15 | 421.17 | |
| SMCI | · unclear | PRICED | +11.28% | +0.95% | 27.36 | 28.78 | |
| ASML | · unclear | PRICED | +8.33% | +0.43% | 1622.50 | 1691.03 | |
| META | · unclear | PRICED | -6.68% | +0.59% | 540.82 | 557.98 | |
| AVGO | · unclear | PRICED | +5.52% | +0.10% | 380.52 | 397.37 | |
| NVDA | · unclear | PRICED | +3.97% | +0.48% | 195.33 | 201.78 | |
| TSLA | · unclear | PRICED | +3.81% | -0.37% | 303.21 | 314.35 | |
| QCOM | · unclear | FRESH | -0.78% | +0.46% | 146.24 | 155.18 | |
| GOOGL | · unclear | FRESH | +0.35% | +0.21% | 337.16 | 357.61 | |
| PLTR | · unclear | FRESH | +0.17% | +0.36% | 119.91 | 123.66 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.52% · Δ 30m -0.20% · px 306.00 (prev 338.19) → close +1.22% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | MSFT | ○ skip | — | direction unclear for MSFT → close +3.24% |
| S4 | AAPL | ○ skip | — | verdict PRICED — Δ prev close -9.52% · Δ 30m -0.20% · px 306.00 (prev 338.19) |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.