Mon Aug-31 20:12:03
times in Europe/Lisbon
🚨 Alert #1231 Wed Jul-29 20:32:15
Fed Chair Warsh tells Senate that AI investment is laying groundwork for future economic growth
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh testified to the Senate that the surge in AI capital expenditure by major tech firms is driving genuine economic growth and productive capacity rather than forming a financial bubble.
🎯 Tickers & verdicts
| ticker | direction | verdict | since close | 30m | day lo | day hi | intraday px |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| primary AMZN | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.59% | -1.24% | 224.70 | 232.52 | |
| MU | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -6.65% | -3.32% | 708.59 | 835.51 | |
| SMCI | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -6.26% | -2.36% | 25.22 | 28.35 | |
| AMD | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.69% | -1.82% | 420.63 | 458.46 | |
| TSM | ▲ bullish | PRICED | -2.17% | -1.42% | 368.30 | 390.77 | |
| peer NVDA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.74% | -1.23% | 188.89 | 197.56 | |
| TSLA | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -1.70% | -1.67% | 293.83 | 308.84 | |
| GOOGL | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.99% | -1.37% | 329.81 | 342.09 | |
| MSFT | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.67% | -0.84% | 389.74 | 425.60 | |
| META | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.66% | -1.37% | 521.74 | 599.09 | |
| ASML | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.66% | -1.22% | 1531.35 | 1613.00 | |
| PLTR | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | +0.62% | -2.07% | 120.59 | 126.93 | |
| QCOM | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.44% | -0.98% | 143.70 | 164.29 | |
| AAPL | ▲ bullish | FRESH | +0.35% | -0.46% | 337.73 | 344.32 | |
| AVGO | ▲ bullish | REPRICING | -0.16% | -1.02% | 364.85 | 384.61 |
🧭 Decisions
| strategy | ticker | action | side | rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | verdict REPRICING, direction bullish -> long AMZN (regulatory: Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh testified to the Senate that the surge in AI capital expenditure by major tech firms is driving genuine economic growth and productive capacity rather than forming a financial bubble.) [skipped: duplicate theme — already holding S1 long AMZN exiting 2026-07-29] → close -1.38% |
| S2 | - | ○ skip | — | no counterparty in universe |
| S3 | NVDA | ○ skip | — | inferred long contradicts tape: NVDA -1.74% since prev close → close -1.52% |
| S4 | AMZN | ○ skip | — | overnight drift: long AMZN at close, exit next close (regulatory: Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh testified to the Senate that the surge in AI capital expenditure by major tech firms is driving genuine economic growth and productive capacity rather than forming a financial bubble.) [skipped at close: outranked — mat 65 long lost to mat 85 long (decision 4760) for S4 AMZN exiting 2026-07-30] |
📈 Trades
no trades spawned
📖 Glossary
- S1 primary — trades the alert's primary ticker in the direction the article itself indicates; exits at the same day's close.
- S2 counterparty — trades the inferred counterparty ticker (weakest signal, LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S3 peer — trades an inferred peer ticker (also LLM-inferred sympathy); exits at the same day's close.
- S4 overnight — holds the primary ticker from today's close to the NEXT day's close.
- Verdicts are decided top-to-bottom, first match wins; REPRICING is also the fallback when nothing else matches (2026-08-08 #220).
- UNKNOWN — a needed price input (move since close or move in the last 30m) is missing.
- PRICED — |move since previous close| ≥ 2.0%: already reflected in price.
- REPRICING — |move in the last 30m| ≥ 0.5%: the tape is actively moving on it. Also covers a quieter move — |move since previous close| in [1.0, 2.0) with a quiet last-30m tape: still developing, not yet priced.
- FRESH — |move since previous close| < 1.0%: a genuinely new move.
- materiality — how market-moving the story was judged, 0-100 — alerts require materiality ≥ 60.